NELCO (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NELCO Stock | 1,379 19.10 1.40% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding NELCO Limited is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of NELCO's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out NELCO Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NELCO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards NELCO Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
NELCO |
Execute NELCO Buy or Sell Advice
The NELCO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NELCO Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NELCO Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NELCO's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
NELCO Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| NELCO Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| NELCO Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Paramount Communications rallies 12 percent on plans to set up manufacturing unit - Business Standard |
NELCO Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NELCO's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NELCO's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NELCO daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NELCO Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NELCO returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NELCO.
| Mean Return | 0.22 | Value At Risk | -4.29 | Potential Upside | 7.05 | Standard Deviation | 3.83 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NELCO historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NELCO Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (26.3M) | (8.6M) | (44.4M) | 73.4M | (12M) | (11.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | (24.1M) | (6.3M) | 137.5M | 5.1M | 56.3M | 59.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (148.3M) | 446.6M | 314.5M | 329.9M | 256.6M | 269.4M | |
| Depreciation | 200.2M | 223M | 246.4M | 277.8M | 221.4M | 129.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 31.1M | 187.7M | 29.7M | 27.5M | (55M) | (52.3M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 480M | 93M | 179.8M | 250.9M | 163.1M | 170.3M | |
| Net Income | 202.6M | 158.8M | 231.5M | 278.2M | 236.7M | 248.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 25.3M | 19M | 156.5M | 161.6M | 217.9M | 228.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 40.3M | 27.2M | 27.1M | 40.7M | 45.3M | 47.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 212.5M | (349M) | (94.2M) | (213.4M) | (192.1M) | (182.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 82.1M | 222.3M | 100.4M | 97.3M | 111.9M | 79.8M |
NELCO Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NELCO or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NELCO's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NELCO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
NELCO Volatility Alert
NELCO Limited currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NELCO's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NELCO's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.NELCO Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NELCO's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NELCO's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NELCO and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NELCO or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NELCO's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NELCO by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NELCO to competition |
| Fundamentals | NELCO | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.071 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 30.72 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 22.82 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 57.34 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 23.92 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.52 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.2 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.28 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 621.3 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 236.7 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 568.7 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 55.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 419.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.11 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 94 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 30.59 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.82 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 980.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 122 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.82 B |
NELCO Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NELCO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11199.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2859 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1365.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1369.88 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 23.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 19.1 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.94 |
About NELCO Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NELCO Limited? Buying financial instruments such as NELCO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in NELCO Stock
NELCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether NELCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NELCO with respect to the benefits of owning NELCO security.