Ngl Energy Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NGL Stock  USD 4.58  0.14  3.15%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NGL Energy Partners is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of NGL Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out NGL Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NGL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NGL Energy Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute NGL Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The NGL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NGL Energy Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NGL Energy Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NGL Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NGL EnergyBuy NGL Energy
Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NGL Energy Partners has a Mean Deviation of 2.13, Semi Deviation of 2.46, Standard Deviation of 2.85, Variance of 8.13, Downside Variance of 7.41 and Semi Variance of 6.04
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on NGL Energy Partners. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure NGL Energy Partners is not overpriced, please verify all NGL Energy Partners fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that NGL Energy Partners has a price to earning of 4.51 X, we recommend you to check NGL Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NGL Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.96 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (143.12 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 808.6 M.
NGL Energy Partners has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: NGL Energy Partners LP earnings missed by 0.29, revenue fell short of estimates - Investing.com Nigeria

NGL Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NGL Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NGL Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NGL Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NGL Energy Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NGL Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NGL Energy.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-4
Potential Upside
4.84
Standard Deviation
2.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NGL Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NGL Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
565.3 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
502.9 K
Nbw Capital2024-09-30
451.9 K
Cetera Investment Advisers2024-06-30
281 K
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-06-30
277.2 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-09-30
225 K
Swank Energy Income Advisors, Lp2024-09-30
200 K
Mariner Wealth Advisors Llc2024-06-30
197.7 K
Hpm Partners Llc2024-06-30
160.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
23.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
19.6 M
Note, although NGL Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NGL Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory29.8M(92.7M)(119.8M)85.1M7.1M7.5M
Change In Cash4.1M(17.9M)(1.0M)1.6M33.5M35.2M
Free Cash Flow(91.7M)117.2M63.5M297.4M223.9M235.1M
Depreciation276.8M331.2M306.2M290.9M282.7M197.2M
Other Non Cash Items254.7M7.2M221.3M100.9M184.3M193.5M
Dividends Paid244.4M142.1M1.6M0.0178.3M138.7M
Capital Expenditures555.7M186.8M142.4M147.8M152.3M211.2M
Net Income(398.8M)(639.2M)(184.1M)52.5M(143.1M)(136.0M)
End Period Cash Flow22.7M4.8M3.8M5.4M38.9M40.9M
Investments(86.7M)(81.3M)(152.0M)64.2M(83.8M)(79.6M)
Change Receivables(144.2M)436.3M(162.0M)(397.6M)(357.8M)(340.0M)
Net Borrowings(537.6M)4.1B1.3B8.5M7.7M7.3M
Change To Netincome(280.8M)456.8M572.6M227.6M261.8M274.9M

NGL Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NGL Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NGL Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NGL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
2.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

NGL Energy Volatility Alert

NGL Energy Partners currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NGL Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NGL Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NGL Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NGL Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NGL Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NGL Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NGL Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NGL Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NGL Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NGL Energy to competition
FundamentalsNGL EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0357-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding132.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.84 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.34 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.55 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.09 X11.42 X
Revenue6.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit808.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA567.45 M3.9 B
Net Income(143.12 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.43 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations376.16 M971.22 M
Short Ratio13.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.34) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(126.11) X4.89 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees60718.84 K
Beta1.68-0.15
Market Capitalization586.14 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.03 B)9.33 B
Working Capital201.59 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by James Collingsworth of 69899 shares of NGL Energy at 5.819 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NGL Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NGL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NGL Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NGL Energy Partners? Buying financial instruments such as NGL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NGL Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now

Printing and Publishing
Printing and Publishing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Printing and Publishing theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Printing and Publishing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether NGL Energy Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze NGL Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NGL Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NGL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out NGL Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NGL Energy. If investors know NGL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NGL Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Earnings Share
(2.34)
Revenue Per Share
50.855
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0357
The market value of NGL Energy Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NGL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NGL Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NGL Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NGL Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NGL Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NGL Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NGL Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NGL Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.