Northern Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NOG Stock | USD 37.80 0.36 0.96% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northern Oil Gas is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Northern Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NOG positions.
Check out Northern Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Northern Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Northern |
Execute Northern Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Northern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northern Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northern Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northern Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Northern Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Northern Oil Gas has 1.84 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 93.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Oil and Gass SWOT analysis dividend boost lifts stock outlook - Investing.com |
Northern Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Northern Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northern Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northern Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northern Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northern Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northern Oil.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -3.71 | Potential Upside | 2.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northern Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Northern Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Hood River Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Westfield Capital Management Company, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15.2 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 11.2 M |
Northern Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 283.9M | 593.8M | 1.4B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Net Income | (906.0M) | 6.4M | 773.2M | 923.0M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 5.6M | 6.8M | (38.8M) | (202.1M) | (181.8M) | (172.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.4M | 9.5M | 2.5M | 8.2M | 7.4M | 7.0M | |
| Change In Cash | (14.6M) | 8.1M | (7.0M) | 5.7M | 5.1M | 5.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 47.8M | (197.3M) | (431.4M) | (661.9M) | (595.7M) | (566.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.2B | 465.3M | 251.3M | 486.0M | 558.9M | 586.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 212.5M | (61.5M) | (139.4M) | 722.1M | 830.4M | 871.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 241.7M | 1.0B | 334.3M | (30.0M) | (27.0M) | (25.6M) | |
| Investments | (283.9M) | (634.4M) | (1.4B) | (2.0B) | (1.8B) | (1.7B) |
Northern Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northern Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northern Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Northern Oil Volatility Alert
Northern Oil Gas currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northern Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northern Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Northern Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Northern Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northern Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northern Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northern Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northern Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Northern Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Northern Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.45 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.42 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.87 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.69 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 99.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.38 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 14.57 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.63 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.85 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.91 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.59 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.62 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 922.97 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.53 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.84 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.60 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.18 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.41 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.48 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.56 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 50.29 | |
| Number Of Employees | 38 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.81 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.71 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.48 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (77.79 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 123.65 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Stuart Lasher of 2161 shares of Northern Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Northern Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Northern Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Northern Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Northern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Northern Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Oil. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.571 | Dividend Share 1.62 | Earnings Share 8.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
The market value of Northern Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.