Nrg Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NRG Stock | USD 96.89 2.37 2.51% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding NRG Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides NRG Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NRG positions.
Check out NRG Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in NRG Stock please use our How to Invest in NRG Energy guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NRG and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NRG Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
NRG |
Execute NRG Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The NRG recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NRG Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NRG Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NRG Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
NRG Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 28.82 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (202 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.1 B. | |
| NRG Energy has about 430 M in cash with (221 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47. | |
| NRG Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 NRG Energy paid $ 0.4075 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why NRG Energy is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term |
NRG Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NRG Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NRG Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NRG Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NRG Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NRG Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NRG Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -3.98 | Potential Upside | 2.93 | Standard Deviation | 2.20 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NRG Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NRG Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.9 M | Banco Santander Central Hispano Sa | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2.5 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 2.5 M | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 28.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 19.4 M |
NRG Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (228M) | 3.5B | (2.8B) | 1.1B | (1.5B) | (1.5B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2B | 1.6B | 224M | (13M) | (843M) | (800.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 463M | 559M | 942M | 846M | 1.1B | 753.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.7B | 126M | (146M) | 889M | (1.0B) | (980.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 228M | 230M | 269M | 373M | 622M | 861.7M | |
| Net Income | 4.1B | 510M | 2.2B | 1.2B | (202M) | (191.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 385M | 3.9B | 1.1B | 2.2B | 649M | 616.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | 22M | 27M | (61M) | (252M) | 189M | 198.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 114M | 152M | (1.8B) | (56M) | (50.4M) | (52.9M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 32M | 295M | 319M | 332M | 381M | 400.1M | |
| Investments | (35M) | (53M) | (3.0B) | (332M) | (2.8B) | (2.6B) | |
| Change Receivables | (83M) | 5M | (1.2B) | (1.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (716M) | 2.7B | (761M) | (14M) | (12.6M) | (12.0M) |
NRG Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NRG Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NRG Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NRG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
NRG Energy Volatility Alert
NRG Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NRG Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NRG Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.NRG Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NRG Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NRG Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NRG Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NRG Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NRG Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NRG Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NRG Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | NRG Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.019 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.14) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 29.64 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 202.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.87 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.07 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.28 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.68 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 28.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.8 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (202 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 430 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.97 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.29 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (221 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.64 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.04 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.40 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 95.11 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18.13 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 19.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 26.04 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 820 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 227 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Alexandra Pruner of 136 shares of NRG Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
NRG Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NRG . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About NRG Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NRG Energy? Buying financial instruments such as NRG Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out NRG Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in NRG Stock please use our How to Invest in NRG Energy guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NRG Energy. If investors know NRG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NRG Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.696 | Dividend Share 1.63 | Earnings Share 4.04 | Revenue Per Share 133.419 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of NRG Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NRG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NRG Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NRG Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NRG Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NRG Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NRG Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NRG Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NRG Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.