NMDC Steel (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NSLNISP Stock   44.26  0.39  0.87%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding NMDC Steel Limited is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NMDC Steel Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NMDC Steel. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NMDC Steel Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out NMDC Steel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NMDC and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NMDC Steel Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute NMDC Steel Buy or Sell Advice

The NMDC recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NMDC Steel Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NMDC Steel Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NMDC Steel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NMDC SteelBuy NMDC Steel
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon NMDC Steel Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), Jensen Alpha of (0.33), Total Risk Alpha of (0.61) and Treynor Ratio of (1.57)
NMDC Steel Limited trade recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts evaluating the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available today. To make sure NMDC Steel Limited is not overpriced, please verify all NMDC Steel Limited fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees .

NMDC Steel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NMDC Steel Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NMDC Steel Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 30.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
NMDC Steel generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NMDC Steel shares drop 5 percent as loss widens to Rs 595 cr in Q2, margins dip - Business Standard

NMDC Steel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NMDC Steel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NMDC Steel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NMDC Steel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NMDC Steel Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NMDC Steel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NMDC Steel.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-3.21
Potential Upside
2.83
Standard Deviation
1.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NMDC Steel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NMDC Steel Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(68.0K)(76.8K)(37.5M)6.2B(6.1B)(5.8B)
Free Cash Flow(76.5K)(78.8K)(11.5B)(6.4B)(33.2B)(31.5B)
Change In Working Capital4.7K(4.7K)7.4B15.2B(13.6B)(12.9B)
Begin Period Cash Flow183.9K115.9K45.7M8.2M6.2B6.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities(76.5K)(78.8K)7.4B15.2B(27.3B)(26.0B)
Net Income(108.7K)(73.9K)(72.3K)(15.6B)(14.0B)(13.3B)
End Period Cash Flow115.9K39.0K8.2M6.2B66.5M63.2M
Other Cashflows From Financing Activities8.5K1.9K(18.9B)(8.6B)(16.4M)(17.2M)
Other Non Cash Items(7.4K)(1.7K)(2.3M)(76M)(3.6B)(3.5B)

NMDC Steel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NMDC Steel or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NMDC Steel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NMDC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

NMDC Steel Volatility Alert

NMDC Steel Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 0.88. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NMDC Steel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NMDC Steel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NMDC Steel Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NMDC Steel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NMDC Steel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NMDC Steel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NMDC Steel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NMDC Steel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NMDC Steel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NMDC Steel to competition
FundamentalsNMDC SteelPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0959-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0453-0.14
Profit Margin(0.41) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.32) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation188.27 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.93 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders60.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.85 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.69 X11.42 X
Revenue30.49 B9.43 B
EBITDA(13.18 B)3.9 B
Net Income(15.6 B)570.98 M
Total Debt66.62 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share52.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(27.33 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(8.77) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.03 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization132.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset293.68 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(15.6 B)9.33 B
Net Asset293.68 B

NMDC Steel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NMDC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NMDC Steel Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NMDC Steel Limited? Buying financial instruments such as NMDC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for NMDC Stock Analysis

When running NMDC Steel's price analysis, check to measure NMDC Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NMDC Steel is operating at the current time. Most of NMDC Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NMDC Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NMDC Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NMDC Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.