Nufarm (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NUF Stock | 3.87 0.08 2.03% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nufarm is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Nufarm given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Nufarm. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Nufarm, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Nufarm Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nufarm and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nufarm. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Nufarm |
Execute Nufarm Buy or Sell Advice
The Nufarm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nufarm. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nufarm or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nufarm's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Nufarm Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Nufarm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nufarm has accumulated about 7.54 M in cash with (125.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS rates NUF as Neutral - Marketscreener.com |
Nufarm Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Nufarm's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nufarm's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nufarm daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nufarm price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nufarm returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nufarm.
| Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.39 | Potential Upside | 3.13 | Standard Deviation | 1.69 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nufarm historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Nufarm Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Depreciation | 208.0M | 208.0M | 213.7M | 188.4M | 216.6M | 227.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 248.0M | (273.1M) | (321.1M) | 33.7M | 30.3M | 31.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 168.9M | 142.5M | 160.9M | 226.7M | 260.8M | 273.8M | |
| Net Income | (456.1M) | 65.1M | 107.4M | 111.1M | 127.8M | 134.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 180.9M | 300.3M | (138.5M) | (174.7M) | (201.0M) | (190.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (400.4M) | 281.7M | 160.2M | (352.4M) | (317.1M) | (301.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 17.1M | 10.2M | 40.2M | 56.5M | 64.9M | 35.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 686.6M | 724.2M | 585.7M | 411.0M | 472.6M | 496.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | (3.0M) | 53.9M | (684.6M) | 130.6M | 117.6M | 123.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 10.4M | (651.6M) | 30.8M | (190.9M) | (171.8M) | (163.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 17.1M | 317.2M | 18.9M | 64.1M | 73.7M | 80.2M | |
| Investments | 1.1B | (4.6M) | (240.4M) | (241.7M) | (217.6M) | (206.7M) |
Nufarm Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nufarm or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nufarm's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nufarm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Nufarm Volatility Alert
Nufarm exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.66 and kurtosis of 1.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nufarm's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nufarm's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Nufarm Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Nufarm's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nufarm's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nufarm and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nufarm or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nufarm's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nufarm by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Nufarm to competition |
| Fundamentals | Nufarm | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0048 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0118 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.12 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 382.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 81.08 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.67 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.45 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.48 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 972.59 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 427.18 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 111.14 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.54 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 1.26 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.45 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (125.62 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.04 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.97 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 4.55 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.11 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.42 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.63 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 89.34 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.7 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 4.63 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.09 |
Nufarm Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nufarm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Nufarm Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Nufarm? Buying financial instruments such as Nufarm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Nufarm in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Additional Tools for Nufarm Stock Analysis
When running Nufarm's price analysis, check to measure Nufarm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nufarm is operating at the current time. Most of Nufarm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nufarm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nufarm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nufarm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.