Northwest Natural Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NWN Stock | USD 43.21 1.09 2.59% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northwest Natural Gas is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Northwest Natural's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Northwest Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northwest and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Northwest Natural Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
Northwest |
Execute Northwest Natural Buy or Sell Advice
The Northwest recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northwest Natural Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northwest Natural Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northwest Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Northwest Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Northwest Natural Gas has 1.75 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northwest Natural Gas has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northwest to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Northwest Natural has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of Northwest Natural shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Northwest Natural paid $ 0.49 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: NW Natural to buy Texas gas utility SiEnergy in 425M deal |
Northwest Natural Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Northwest Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northwest Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northwest Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northwest Natural Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northwest Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northwest Natural.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -1.64 | Potential Upside | 1.77 | Standard Deviation | 1.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northwest Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Northwest Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Northwest Natural, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Natural Gas back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc | 2024-06-30 | 479.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 478.9 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 471.9 K | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2024-06-30 | 353.7 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 336 K | Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al | 2024-06-30 | 315.4 K | Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 302.7 K | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2024-09-30 | 300.1 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 278.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.7 M |
Northwest Natural Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.0M) | 1.3M | (14.6M) | (29.3M) | (24.1M) | (22.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | (3.0M) | 20.5M | (8.3M) | 13.8M | 8.6M | 9.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (57.0M) | (137.9M) | (134.9M) | (191.7M) | (47.4M) | (45.0M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 19.1M | (42.2M) | 7.6M | (14.4M) | (16.0M) | (15.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 53.3M | 55.4M | 55.9M | 62.8M | 67.3M | 47.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 242.3M | 280.9M | 295.3M | 339.4M | 327.3M | 343.7M | |
| Net Income | 61.7M | 76.8M | 78.7M | 86.3M | 93.9M | 60.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 9.6M | 30.2M | 27.1M | 41.0M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 23.4M | (21.1M) | 24.9M | 38.5M | 44.3M | 46.5M | |
| Depreciation | 91.5M | 103.7M | 113.5M | 116.7M | 141.7M | 97.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 76.5M | 35.4M | 370M | 158.7M | 182.5M | 191.6M | |
| Investments | (303.8M) | 7M | (7.5M) | (1M) | (429.0M) | (407.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | 5.8M | (16.8M) | (44.1M) | (76.5M) | (68.8M) | (65.4M) |
Northwest Natural Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northwest Natural or Gas Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northwest Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northwest stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Northwest Natural Volatility Alert
Northwest Natural Gas has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.65 and kurtosis of 1.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northwest Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northwest Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Northwest Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Northwest Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northwest Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northwest Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northwest Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northwest Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northwest Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Northwest Natural to competition |
| Fundamentals | Northwest Natural | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0609 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.024 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.14) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.46 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.13 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.89 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 909.75 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.66 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.24 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.2 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 383.05 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 344.49 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 93.87 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 29.27 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.75 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 33.82 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 279.95 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.36 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 45.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.38 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.57 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.69 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.48 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 399.91 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (95.44 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Brian Fellon of 1530 shares of Northwest Natural subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Northwest Natural Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northwest . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Northwest Natural Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Northwest Natural Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Northwest Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Northwest Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Natural. If investors know Northwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northwest Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Dividend Share 1.95 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share 29.929 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Northwest Natural Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northwest Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northwest Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northwest Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northwest Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northwest Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northwest Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northwest Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.