Ocular Therapeutix Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OCUL Stock  USD 8.83  0.31  3.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Ocular Therapeutix is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ocular Therapeutix's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Ocular Therapeutix Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Ocular Stock please use our How to buy in Ocular Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ocular and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ocular Therapeutix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Ocular Therapeutix Buy or Sell Advice

The Ocular recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ocular Therapeutix. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ocular Therapeutix or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ocular Therapeutix's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ocular TherapeutixBuy Ocular Therapeutix
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ocular Therapeutix has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.52) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Ocular Therapeutix. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ocular Therapeutix is not overpriced, please check all Ocular Therapeutix fundamentals, including its ebitda, earnings per share, net asset, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and total asset . Given that Ocular Therapeutix has a number of shares shorted of 12.67 M, we recommend you to check out Ocular Therapeutix market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ocular Therapeutix Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ocular Therapeutix had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.51 M).
Ocular Therapeutix currently holds about 134.54 M in cash with (70.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.75.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Ocular Therapeutix Given New 15.00 Price Target at HC Wainwright

Ocular Therapeutix Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ocular Therapeutix's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ocular Therapeutix's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ocular Therapeutix daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ocular Therapeutix price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ocular Therapeutix returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ocular Therapeutix.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-5.33
Potential Upside
6.07
Standard Deviation
3.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ocular Therapeutix historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ocular Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Perceptive Advisors Llc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
2.8 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-06-30
2.7 M
Deltec Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Octagon Capital Advisors Lp2024-06-30
2.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
2.3 M
Braidwell Lp2024-09-30
2.2 M
Summer Road Llc2024-06-30
14.9 M
Vr Adviser, Llc2024-06-30
12.8 M
Note, although Ocular Therapeutix's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ocular Therapeutix Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(737K)(247K)(49K)(724K)(331K)(314.5K)
Change In Cash(4.5M)173.6M(63.9M)(61.9M)93.5M98.2M
Free Cash Flow(79.8M)(54.4M)(66.7M)(63.3M)(76.3M)(72.5M)
Depreciation2.5M2.8M2.4M2.1M3.0M1.8M
Other Non Cash Items3.7M4.4M4.6M(9.0M)(2.9M)(2.8M)
Capital Expenditures2.2M841K1.2M3.7M6.1M6.4M
Net Income(86.4M)(155.6M)(6.6M)(71.0M)(80.7M)(84.8M)
End Period Cash Flow56.2M229.8M165.9M104.1M197.6M207.4M
Investments(2.2M)(841K)(1.2M)(3.7M)(7.8M)(7.4M)
Change Receivables(2.3M)(9.7M)(8.9M)(190K)(171K)(179.6K)
Dividends Paid37.3M747K710K52.6M60.5M63.5M
Change To Netincome4.5M93.7M(58.5M)3.1M2.8M2.7M

Ocular Therapeutix Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ocular Therapeutix or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ocular Therapeutix's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ocular stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
3.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ocular Therapeutix Volatility Alert

Ocular Therapeutix exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 1.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ocular Therapeutix's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ocular Therapeutix's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ocular Therapeutix Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ocular Therapeutix's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ocular Therapeutix's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ocular Therapeutix and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ocular Therapeutix or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ocular Therapeutix's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ocular Therapeutix by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ocular Therapeutix to competition
FundamentalsOcular TherapeutixPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.73-0.31
Return On Asset-0.22-0.14
Profit Margin(2.26) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(2.65) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation987.4 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding157.22 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(2.69) X28.72 X
Price To Book3.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales21.92 X11.42 X
Revenue58.44 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(6.51 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(66.42 M)3.9 B
Net Income(80.74 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents134.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt83.39 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.14 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.79 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(70.23 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.68 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.29) X3.12 X
Target Price18.22
Number Of Employees26718.84 K
Beta1.26-0.15
Market Capitalization1.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset252.06 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(697.58 M)9.33 B
Working Capital197.34 M1.48 B
Current Asset106.98 M9.34 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Ocular Therapeutix Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ocular . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ocular Therapeutix Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ocular Therapeutix? Buying financial instruments such as Ocular Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ocular Therapeutix in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Consumer Discretionary ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Discretionary ETFs theme has 29 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Discretionary ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ocular Therapeutix is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ocular Therapeutix's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ocular Therapeutix's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ocular Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ocular Therapeutix Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Ocular Stock please use our How to buy in Ocular Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ocular Therapeutix. If investors know Ocular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ocular Therapeutix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.29)
Revenue Per Share
0.529
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Ocular Therapeutix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ocular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ocular Therapeutix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ocular Therapeutix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ocular Therapeutix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ocular Therapeutix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ocular Therapeutix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ocular Therapeutix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ocular Therapeutix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.