Otter Tail Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OTTR Stock  USD 81.94  1.16  1.44%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Otter Tail is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Otter Tail given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Otter Tail. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Otter Tail, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Otter Tail Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Otter Stock, please use our How to Invest in Otter Tail guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Otter and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Otter Tail. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Otter Tail Buy or Sell Advice

The Otter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Otter Tail. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Otter Tail or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Otter Tail's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Otter TailBuy Otter Tail
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Otter Tail has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.39) and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
Macroaxis provides advice on Otter Tail to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Otter Tail. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Otter Tail is not overpriced, please check all Otter Tail fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Otter Tail has a price to earning of 8.27 X, we recommend you to check out Otter Tail market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Otter Tail Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Otter Tail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Otter Tail has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Foster Motley Inc. Trims Stock Holdings in Otter Tail Co.

Otter Tail Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Otter Tail's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Otter Tail's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Otter Tail daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Otter Tail price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Otter Tail returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Otter Tail.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-3.54
Potential Upside
2.99
Standard Deviation
1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Otter Tail historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Otter Stock Institutional Investors

The Otter Tail's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Otter Tail's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
320.6 K
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2024-09-30
263.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
224.1 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
216.9 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
175.7 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
170.7 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
156.1 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
149.7 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
135.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.2 M
Note, although Otter Tail's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Otter Tail Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash20.3M(20.0M)374K117.5M111.4M116.9M
Free Cash Flow(22.3M)(159.6M)59.4M218.2M117.4M123.2M
Other Non Cash Items(6.9M)(7.4M)(13.9M)(18.2M)(7.6M)(7.3M)
Dividends Paid55.7M60.3M64.9M68.8M73.1M44.2M
Capital Expenditures207.4M371.6M171.8M171.1M287.1M301.5M
Net Income86.8M95.9M176.8M284.2M294.2M308.9M
End Period Cash Flow21.2M1.2M1.5M119.0M230.4M241.9M
Change To Inventory8.4M5.7M(54.3M)5.3M(2.5M)(2.6M)
Depreciation78.1M82.0M91.4M92.6M98.0M82.5M
Investments(10.6M)(9.1M)(9.4M)(175.1M)(279.5M)(265.6M)
Change Receivables(1.9M)(6.3M)(61.0M)30.6M35.1M36.9M
Net Borrowings86.3M149.4M10.0M(23.0M)(26.4M)(25.1M)
Change To Netincome(7.5M)5.8M23.9M14.2M12.8M9.9M

Otter Tail Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Otter Tail or Electric Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Otter Tail's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Otter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Otter Tail Volatility Alert

Otter Tail exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of 1.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Otter Tail's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Otter Tail's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Otter Tail Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Otter Tail's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Otter Tail's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Otter Tail and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Otter Tail or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Otter Tail's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Otter Tail by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Otter Tail to competition
FundamentalsOtter TailPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.073-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.11 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding41.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.97 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.27 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.52 X11.42 X
Revenue1.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit570.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA499.12 M3.9 B
Net Income294.19 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents72.99 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt905.48 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.69 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share39.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations404.5 M971.22 M
Short Ratio16.53 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.24 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.11 X4.89 X
Target Price81.0
Number Of Employees2.65 K18.84 K
Beta0.52-0.15
Market Capitalization3.38 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings806.34 M9.33 B
Working Capital260.41 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 4000 shares by Jennifer Smestad of Otter Tail at 88.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Otter Tail Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Otter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Otter Tail Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Otter Tail? Buying financial instruments such as Otter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Otter Tail in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Financials Thematic Idea Now

Financials
Financials Theme
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Otter Stock Analysis

When running Otter Tail's price analysis, check to measure Otter Tail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otter Tail is operating at the current time. Most of Otter Tail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otter Tail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otter Tail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otter Tail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.