Ovid Therapeutics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OVID Stock  USD 1.09  0.01  0.91%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ovid Therapeutics is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ovid Therapeutics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OVID positions.
  
Check out Ovid Therapeutics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Ovid Stock refer to our How to Trade Ovid Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ovid and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ovid Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Ovid Therapeutics Buy or Sell Advice

The Ovid recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ovid Therapeutics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ovid Therapeutics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ovid Therapeutics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ovid TherapeuticsBuy Ovid Therapeutics
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ovid Therapeutics has a Mean Deviation of 2.9, Standard Deviation of 3.92 and Variance of 15.4
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Ovid Therapeutics. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ovid Therapeutics is not overpriced, please check all Ovid Therapeutics fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, target price, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Ovid Therapeutics is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its price to earning.

Ovid Therapeutics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ovid Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ovid Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ovid Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ovid Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 391.69 K. Net Loss for the year was (52.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.5 M.
Ovid Therapeutics currently holds about 152.37 M in cash with (45.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Ovid Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Biotechnology Value Fund L Ps Strategic Reduction in Ovid Therapeutics Inc

Ovid Therapeutics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ovid Therapeutics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ovid Therapeutics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ovid Therapeutics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ovid Therapeutics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ovid Therapeutics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ovid Therapeutics.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-6.25
Potential Upside
5.93
Standard Deviation
3.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ovid Therapeutics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ovid Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Prosight Management, Lp2024-06-30
1.1 M
Tls Advisors Llc2024-09-30
771.5 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
741.6 K
Ubs O'connor Llc2024-09-30
628.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
480.2 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
309.5 K
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2024-09-30
260.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
218.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
161.8 K
Rubric Capital Management Lp2024-06-30
5.3 M
Madison Avenue Partners, Lp2024-06-30
4.1 M
Note, although Ovid Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ovid Therapeutics Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash5.4M30.1M117.7M(142.9M)(17.8M)(16.9M)
Depreciation255.0K306.8K237.1K1.4M1.6M1.7M
Capital Expenditures244.0K390.7K189.4K1.4M137.5K130.6K
Net Income(60.5M)(81.0M)122.8M(54.2M)(52.3M)(49.7M)
End Period Cash Flow41.9M72.0M189.7M46.8M29.0M27.5M
Change To Netincome5.2M7.3M5.1M6.6M7.5M8.9M
Investments(29.8M)35.0M(1.6M)(85.5M)41.8M43.9M
Free Cash Flow(51.3M)(52.0M)118.4M(56.6M)(45.9M)(48.2M)
Other Non Cash Items(29.6K)(199.4K)7.3M(764.9K)(4.7M)(4.5M)

Ovid Therapeutics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ovid Therapeutics or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ovid Therapeutics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ovid stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ovid Therapeutics Volatility Alert

Ovid Therapeutics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of 0.53. Ovid Therapeutics is a potential penny stock. Although Ovid Therapeutics may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ovid Therapeutics. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ovid instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Ovid Therapeutics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ovid Therapeutics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ovid Therapeutics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ovid Therapeutics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ovid Therapeutics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ovid Therapeutics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ovid Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ovid Therapeutics to competition
FundamentalsOvid TherapeuticsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.37-0.31
Return On Asset-0.36-0.14
Operating Margin(76.45) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation30.47 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding71.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions56.45 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted679.89 K4.71 M
Price To Earning1.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales123.65 X11.42 X
Revenue391.69 K9.43 B
Gross Profit1.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA(58.71 M)3.9 B
Net Income(52.34 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents152.37 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt16 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.10 %48.70 %
Current Ratio16.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.07 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(45.78 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.46) X3.12 X
Target Price3.26
Number Of Employees2518.84 K
Beta0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization78.11 M19.03 B
Total Asset144.03 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(277.87 M)9.33 B
Working Capital98.12 M1.48 B
Current Asset74.21 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities5.13 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Williams Douglas E of 13250 shares of Ovid Therapeutics at 5.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ovid Therapeutics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ovid . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ovid Therapeutics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ovid Therapeutics? Buying financial instruments such as Ovid Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ovid Therapeutics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Corporate Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Corporate Bonds Funds
Corporate Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in different types of corporate debt instruments. The Corporate Bonds Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ovid Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ovid Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ovid Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ovid Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ovid Therapeutics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Ovid Stock refer to our How to Trade Ovid Stock guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ovid Therapeutics. If investors know Ovid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ovid Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.46)
Revenue Per Share
0.009
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.587
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
The market value of Ovid Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ovid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ovid Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ovid Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ovid Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ovid Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ovid Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ovid Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ovid Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.