Long Term Government Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PFGAX Fund | USD 14.02 0.01 0.07% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Long Term Government Fund is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Long Term Government Fund given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Long-term. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Long Term Government Fund, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Long-term Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Long-term and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Long Term Government Fund. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Long-term |
Execute Long-term Buy or Sell Advice
The Long-term recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Long Term Government Fund. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Long Term Government Fund or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Long-term's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details |
Long-term Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Long Term Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Long Term Government generated five year return of -5.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 7.64% of its assets in cash |
Long-term Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Long-term's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Long-term's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Long-term daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Long Term Government Fund price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Long-term returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Long-term.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -1.36 | Potential Upside | 1.14 | Standard Deviation | 0.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Long-term historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Long-term Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Long-term or PIMCO sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Long-term's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Long-term fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Long-term Volatility Alert
Long Term Government Fund exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.39 and kurtosis of 0.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Long-term's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Long-term's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Long-term Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Long-term's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Long-term's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Long-term and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Long-term or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Long-term's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Long-term by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Long-term to competition |
| Fundamentals | Long-term | Peer Average |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | 0.29 % |
| Year To Date Return | 0.24 % | 0.39 % |
| One Year Return | 6.64 % | 4.15 % |
| Three Year Return | (10.69) % | 3.60 % |
| Five Year Return | (5.05) % | 3.24 % |
| Ten Year Return | 7.73 % | 1.79 % |
| Net Asset | 1.15 B | 4.11 B |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.01 | 0.65 |
| Cash Position Weight | 7.64 % | 10.61 % |
Long-term Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Long-term . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 25.65 |
About Long-term Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Long Term Government Fund? Buying financial instruments such as Long-term Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Long-term Mutual Fund
Long-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Long-term Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Long-term with respect to the benefits of owning Long-term security.
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios |