Pennfed Financial Services Stock Market Outlook

PFSB Stock   16.57  0.39  2.30%   
About 61% of Pennfed Financial's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of current outlook of investing in Pennfed Financial Services suggests that many traders are alarmed regarding Pennfed Financial's prospects. The current market sentiment, together with Pennfed Financial's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Pennfed Financial stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 39

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Pennfed Financial's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Pennfed Financial Services.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pennfed Financial Services is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Pennfed Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PFSB positions.

Execute Pennfed Financial Advice

The Pennfed recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pennfed Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pennfed Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pennfed Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Pennfed FinancialBuy Pennfed Financial
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

nullDetails
For the selected time horizon Pennfed Financial Services has a Mean Deviation of 0.7433, Standard Deviation of 1.21, Variance of 1.46, Downside Variance of 1.18, Semi Variance of (0.03) and Expected Short fall of (1.09)

Pennfed Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pennfed Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pennfed Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pennfed Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pennfed Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pennfed Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Pennfed Financial.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-1.17
Potential Upside
1.97
Standard Deviation
1.21
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pennfed Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pennfed Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pennfed Financial or Pennfed sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pennfed Financial's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pennfed otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Pennfed Financial Volatility Alert

Pennfed Financial Services has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.3 and kurtosis of 10.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pennfed Financial's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pennfed Financial's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pennfed Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pennfed . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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