Pennymac Mortgage Investment Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PMT-PB Preferred Stock  USD 24.48  0.02  0.08%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding PennyMac Mortgage Investment is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides PennyMac Mortgage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PMT-PB positions.
  
Check out PennyMac Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PennyMac and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

The PennyMac recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PennyMac Mortgage Investment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PennyMac Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PennyMac MortgageBuy PennyMac Mortgage
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon PennyMac Mortgage Investment has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0494, Jensen Alpha of 0.0177, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of (0.24) and Treynor Ratio of 0.8006
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on PennyMac Mortgage. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure PennyMac Mortgage is not overpriced, please check all PennyMac Mortgage fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the net income and book value per share . Given that PennyMac Mortgage has a price to earning of 7.84 X, we recommend you to check out PennyMac Mortgage market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PennyMac Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PennyMac Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PennyMac Mortgage Investment has accumulated about 460.35 M in cash with (2.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.64.

PennyMac Mortgage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PennyMac Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PennyMac Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PennyMac Mortgage Investment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PennyMac Mortgage.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-0.68
Potential Upside
0.74
Standard Deviation
0.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PennyMac Mortgage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PennyMac Mortgage or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PennyMac Mortgage's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PennyMac preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

PennyMac Mortgage Volatility Alert

PennyMac Mortgage Investment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PennyMac Mortgage's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PennyMac Mortgage's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PennyMac Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PennyMac Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PennyMac Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PennyMac Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PennyMac Mortgage or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PennyMac Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PennyMac Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PennyMac Mortgage to competition
FundamentalsPennyMac MortgagePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0339-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0053-0.14
Profit Margin(0.24) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Shares Outstanding60.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions29.92 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted13.46 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.84 X28.72 X
Price To Sales35.42 X11.42 X
Revenue81.11 M9.43 B
Gross Profit128.23 M27.38 B
EBITDA349.4 M3.9 B
Net Income56.85 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents460.35 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.49 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.92 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.05 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(2.82 B)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.73) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization1.51 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.77 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.08 %
Net Asset13.77 B

PennyMac Mortgage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PennyMac . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PennyMac Mortgage Investment? Buying financial instruments such as PennyMac Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in PennyMac Preferred Stock

PennyMac Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether PennyMac Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PennyMac with respect to the benefits of owning PennyMac Mortgage security.