Phillips 66 Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PSX Stock  USD 120.84  1.32  1.08%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Phillips 66 is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Phillips 66 given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Phillips 66, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Phillips Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Phillips and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Phillips 66. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Phillips Buy or Sell Advice

The Phillips recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Phillips 66. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Phillips 66 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Phillips' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PhillipsBuy Phillips
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Phillips 66 has a Mean Deviation of 1.14, Standard Deviation of 1.62 and Variance of 2.61
Macroaxis provides advice on Phillips 66 to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Phillips 66. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Phillips is not overpriced, please check all Phillips 66 fundamentals, including its price to book, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that Phillips 66 has a price to earning of 4.99 X, we recommend you to check out Phillips 66 market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Phillips Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Analysts Weigh In On Trumps TariffTalk

Phillips Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Phillips' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Phillips' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Phillips daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Phillips 66 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Phillips returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Phillips.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-3.43
Potential Upside
1.80
Standard Deviation
1.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Phillips historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Phillips Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Phillips, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phillips 66 back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Norges Bank2024-06-30
4.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
4.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
3.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
3.7 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
3.6 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
3.2 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-09-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
40.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
31.1 M
Note, although Phillips' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Phillips Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(71M)511M74M(245M)(220.5M)(209.5M)
Change In Cash900M633M3.0B(2.8B)(3.2B)(3.1B)
Free Cash Flow(809M)4.2B8.6B4.6B5.3B5.6B
Depreciation1.4B1.6B1.6B2.0B2.3B1.3B
Other Non Cash Items152M(27M)(3.6B)(988M)(889.2M)(844.7M)
Capital Expenditures2.9B1.9B2.2B2.4B2.8B2.8B
Net Income(3.7B)1.6B11.4B7.0B8.1B8.5B
Dividends Paid1.6B1.6B1.8B(1.9B)(1.7B)(1.6B)
Investments(80M)267M712M(1.8B)(1.6B)(1.5B)
Change Receivables(2.3B)2.0B(922M)(2.1B)(1.9B)(1.8B)
Net Borrowings1.8B4.1B(1.5B)(2.4B)(2.2B)(2.1B)
End Period Cash Flow2.5B3.1B6.1B3.3B3.0B2.8B
Change To Netincome897M4.7B976M(2.7B)(3.1B)(3.0B)

Phillips Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Phillips or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Phillips' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Phillips stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Phillips Volatility Alert

Phillips 66 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 2.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Phillips' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Phillips' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Phillips Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Phillips' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Phillips' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Phillips and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Phillips or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Phillips' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phillips by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Phillips to competition
FundamentalsPhillipsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0287-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation68.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding412.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.77 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.99 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.34 X11.42 X
Revenue147.4 B9.43 B
Gross Profit14.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA12.37 B3.9 B
Net Income7.01 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.13 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.36 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.57 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share69.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.03 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.05 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.83 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.73 X4.89 X
Target Price138.55
Number Of Employees14 K18.84 K
Beta1.32-0.15
Market Capitalization50.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset75.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings30.55 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.08 B1.48 B
Note: Sale by Lawrence Ziemba of 101909 shares of Phillips [view details]

Phillips Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Phillips . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Phillips Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Phillips 66? Buying financial instruments such as Phillips Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Phillips in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Apparel
Apparel Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Apparel theme has 50 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Apparel Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Phillips Stock Analysis

When running Phillips' price analysis, check to measure Phillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phillips is operating at the current time. Most of Phillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.