Rapid7 Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RPD Stock  USD 42.44  1.38  3.36%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Rapid7 Inc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Rapid7 buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Rapid7 positions.
  
Check out Rapid7 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Rapid7 and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Rapid7 Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Rapid7 Buy or Sell Advice

The Rapid7 recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Rapid7 Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Rapid7 Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Rapid7's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Rapid7Buy Rapid7
Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Rapid7 Inc has a Mean Deviation of 1.72, Semi Deviation of 1.66, Standard Deviation of 2.23, Variance of 4.96, Downside Variance of 3.07 and Semi Variance of 2.74
Rapid7 advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Rapid7 is not overpriced, please check all Rapid7 Inc fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that Rapid7 Inc has a price to earning of (18.03) X, we recommend you to check out Rapid7 Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Rapid7 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Rapid7 Inc has 1.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.49, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Rapid7 Inc has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Rapid7 to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 777.71 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (149.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 470.73 M.
Over 98.0% of Rapid7 shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think Rapid7s Robust Earnings Are Conservative - Simply Wall St

Rapid7 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Rapid7's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Rapid7's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Rapid7 daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Rapid7 Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Rapid7 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Rapid7.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-2.74
Potential Upside
4.23
Standard Deviation
2.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Rapid7 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Rapid7 Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
1.2 M
Freshford Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Penserra Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
861 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-06-30
849.8 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
848.9 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
830.8 K
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
715.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
8.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
M
Note, although Rapid7's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Rapid7 Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory6.1M(7.9M)(741K)19.6M22.5M23.6M
Change In Cash23.8M50.2M(8.6M)42.8M6.3M6.0M
Free Cash Flow(36.9M)(15.0M)35.1M40.7M84.0M88.2M
Depreciation16.5M22.6M33.5M41.0M45.9M48.2M
Other Non Cash Items11.1M19.9M8.6M3.9M104.8M110.0M
Capital Expenditures35.5M19.9M18.9M37.5M20.2M16.0M
Net Income(53.8M)(98.8M)(146.3M)(124.7M)(149.3M)(141.8M)
End Period Cash Flow123.4M173.6M165.0M207.8M214.1M113.7M
Investments66.9M(10.5M)51.9M(40.0M)(178.8M)(169.8M)
Net Borrowings222.8M222.4M355.0M(83K)(95.5K)(90.7K)
Change To Netincome40.4M66.8M107.7M118.3M136.0M142.8M
Change Receivables(14.8M)(24.4M)(25.5M)(9.1M)(8.1M)(8.6M)

Rapid7 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Rapid7 or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Rapid7's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Rapid7 stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.65
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Rapid7 Volatility Alert

Rapid7 Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.74 and kurtosis of 0.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Rapid7's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Rapid7's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Rapid7 Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Rapid7's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Rapid7's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Rapid7 and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Rapid7 or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Rapid7's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rapid7 by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Rapid7 to competition
FundamentalsRapid7Peer Average
Return On Equity-1.28-0.31
Return On Asset0.0189-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding63.21 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.44 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.38 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(18.03) X28.72 X
Price To Book57.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.12 X11.42 X
Revenue777.71 M9.43 B
Gross Profit470.73 M27.38 B
EBITDA(80.73 M)3.9 B
Net Income(149.26 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents239.71 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.02 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.49 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.89 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.10) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations104.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.70 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(1.05) X4.89 X
Target Price43.41
Number Of Employees2.23 K18.84 K
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization2.6 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.51 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.01 B)9.33 B
Working Capital64.66 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 3663 shares by Sondhi Reeny of Rapid7 at 40.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Rapid7 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Rapid7 . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Rapid7 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Rapid7 Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Rapid7 Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Rapid7 in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Synthetics
Synthetics Theme
Companies involved in production of silicon and other synthetic products . The Synthetics theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Synthetics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Rapid7 Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rapid7's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rapid7's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rapid7 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Rapid7 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rapid7. If investors know Rapid7 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rapid7 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.7
Revenue Per Share
13.399
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
Return On Assets
0.0189
Return On Equity
(1.28)
The market value of Rapid7 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rapid7 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rapid7's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rapid7's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rapid7's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rapid7's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rapid7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rapid7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rapid7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.