Rayonier Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RYN Stock  USD 31.05  0.77  2.54%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Rayonier is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Rayonier's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Rayonier Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Rayonier Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rayonier guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Rayonier and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Rayonier. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Rayonier Buy or Sell Advice

The Rayonier recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Rayonier. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Rayonier or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Rayonier's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell RayonierBuy Rayonier
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Rayonier has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.08, Jensen Alpha of 0.0733, Total Risk Alpha of (0.08), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.3572
Our advice module can be used to complement Rayonier recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Rayonier is not overpriced, please check all Rayonier fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Rayonier has a price to earning of 131.53 X, we recommend you to check out Rayonier market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Rayonier Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of September 2024 Rayonier paid $ 0.285 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Rayonier Shares Cross Above 200 DMA - Nasdaq

Rayonier Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Rayonier's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Rayonier's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Rayonier daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Rayonier price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Rayonier returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Rayonier.
Mean Return
0.12
Value At Risk
-1.62
Potential Upside
2.09
Standard Deviation
1.21
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Rayonier historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Rayonier Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Rayonier, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rayonier back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-09-30
2.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
2.4 M
Confluence Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Grs Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
20.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
16.3 M
Note, although Rayonier's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Rayonier Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(86.5M)17.5M281.6M(253.7M)93.4M98.1M
Free Cash Flow8M113M70M(264.1M)202.9M213.0M
Depreciation122.6M166.3M80.7M147.3M158.2M139.9M
Other Non Cash Items13.7M4.7M6.8M14.3M105.4M110.7M
Dividends Paid141.1M146.3M153.5M165.7M170.0M127.8M
Capital Expenditures206.3M91.2M255.1M533.3M95.5M90.7M
Net Income67.7M29.8M210.5M122.8M173.5M148.7M
End Period Cash Flow70M87.5M369.1M115.4M207.7M107.0M
Change To Inventory1.2M(1.4M)(503K)(4.3M)513K538.7K
Change Receivables(6.4M)765K(849K)(9.1M)(8.2M)(7.8M)
Net Borrowings82.0M168M26.4M124.3M111.8M172.9M
Change To Netincome13.2M14.3M7.5M(7.8M)(7.0M)(7.4M)
Investments(219.4M)(213.6M)(26.3M)(516.4M)(540.2M)(513.2M)

Rayonier Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Rayonier or Specialized REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Rayonier's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Rayonier stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.0083

Rayonier Volatility Alert

Rayonier has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.8 and kurtosis of 2.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Rayonier's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Rayonier's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Rayonier Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Rayonier's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Rayonier's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Rayonier and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Rayonier or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Rayonier's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rayonier by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Rayonier to competition
FundamentalsRayonierPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0876-0.31
Return On Asset0.0344-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding149 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.47 M4.71 M
Price To Earning131.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.59 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.67 X11.42 X
Revenue1.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit221.49 M27.38 B
EBITDA378.19 M3.9 B
Net Income173.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents114.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.45 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations298.38 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.82 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.07 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth23.24 X4.89 X
Target Price33.83
Number Of Employees43818.84 K
Beta1.06-0.15
Market Capitalization4.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.65 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings338.24 M9.33 B
Working Capital176.68 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1488 shares by Mark McHugh of Rayonier at 32.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Rayonier Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Rayonier . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Rayonier Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Rayonier? Buying financial instruments such as Rayonier Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Rayonier in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Gold and Gold Mining Thematic Idea Now

Gold and Gold Mining
Gold and Gold Mining Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 100 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Rayonier offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rayonier's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rayonier Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rayonier Stock:
Check out Rayonier Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Rayonier Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rayonier guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rayonier. If investors know Rayonier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rayonier listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.488
Dividend Share
1.14
Earnings Share
1.07
Revenue Per Share
6.753
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Rayonier is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rayonier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rayonier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rayonier's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rayonier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rayonier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rayonier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rayonier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rayonier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.