Saia Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SAIA Stock | USD 486.89 6.15 1.25% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Saia Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Saia buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Saia positions.
Check out Saia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Saia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Saia Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Saia |
Execute Saia Buy or Sell Advice
The Saia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Saia Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Saia Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Saia's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Saia Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Saia Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Saia Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Saia Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Nicolaus Raises Saia Price Target to 443.00 - MarketBeat |
Saia Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Saia's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Saia's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Saia daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Saia Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Saia returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Saia.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -4.04 | Potential Upside | 3.84 | Standard Deviation | 3.13 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Saia historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Saia Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Wasatch Advisors Lp | 2024-09-30 | 692.4 K | Bessemer Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 535 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 520 K | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 479.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 471.7 K | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 426.9 K | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-09-30 | 424.2 K | Ing Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 323.5 K | Westfield Capital Management Company, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 303.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 3 M |
Saia Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 25.1M | 81.3M | 80.8M | 108.8M | 125.1M | 131.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 78.0M | 96.8M | 105.6M | 138.1M | 158.8M | 166.7M | |
| Depreciation | 134.7M | 141.7M | 157.2M | 178.8M | 205.7M | 216.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.7M | (335K) | 3.1M | 2.9M | 2.6M | 4.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 231.1M | 285.7M | 367.4M | 439.9M | 505.9M | 531.2M | |
| Net Income | 138.3M | 253.2M | 357.4M | 354.9M | 408.1M | 428.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 25.3M | 106.6M | 187.4M | 296.2M | 340.6M | 357.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (2.7M) | 7.5M | 1.8M | 13.8M | 15.9M | 16.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.8M | 3.7M | 4.5M | 9.2M | 8.3M | 6.0M | |
| Change Receivables | (17.0M) | (25.1M) | (63.4M) | (16.6M) | (15.0M) | (15.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 25.3M | (45.9M) | (20.6M) | (19.5M) | (17.5M) | (18.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 33.3M | 17.5M | (12.3M) | 33.6M | 38.6M | 40.6M | |
| Investments | (218.8M) | (277.8M) | (365.5M) | (424.5M) | (382.1M) | (401.2M) |
Saia Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saia or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Saia Volatility Alert
Saia Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saia's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saia's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Saia Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Saia's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Saia's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Saia and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Saia or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Saia's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saia by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Saia to competition |
| Fundamentals | Saia | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.17 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 26.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.67 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 42.32 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.88 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 848.53 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 647.61 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 354.86 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 137.87 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.24 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 138.71 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.10 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 84.13 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 577.95 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.55 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 13.99 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.40 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 517.11 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.73 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.11 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.58 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.66 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 326.64 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3700 shares by Odell Richard D of Saia at 547.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Saia Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Saia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15967.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 485.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 486.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.15) |
About Saia Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Saia Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Saia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Saia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Saia. If investors know Saia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Saia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 13.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Saia Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Saia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Saia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Saia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Saia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Saia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Saia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.