Sifco Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SIF Stock | USD 4.01 0.13 3.35% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding SIFCO Industries is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides SIFCO Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIF positions.
Check out SIFCO Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in SIFCO Stock please use our How to Invest in SIFCO Industries guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SIFCO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. SIFCO Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
SIFCO |
Execute SIFCO Industries Buy or Sell Advice
The SIFCO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SIFCO Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SIFCO Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SIFCO Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
SIFCO Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| SIFCO Industries had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 87.02 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.69 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (1.85 M). | |
| SIFCO Industries has about 1.17 M in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 228 shares by Donald Molten of SIFCO Industries at 4.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
SIFCO Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of SIFCO Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SIFCO Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SIFCO Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SIFCO Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SIFCO Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SIFCO Industries.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -5.22 | Potential Upside | 5.70 | Standard Deviation | 4.34 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SIFCO Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SIFCO Industries Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (4.7M) | 2.0M | 443K | 1.9M | 2.2M | 2.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 86K | (81K) | 828K | (806K) | (725.4K) | (689.1K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (8.6M) | (1.1M) | (2.9M) | (3.8M) | (4.4M) | (4.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.4M | 7.7M | 6.3M | 6.4M | 7.4M | 5.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.0M | 5.0M | 3.2M | 2.5M | 2.8M | 5.1M | |
| Net Income | 9.2M | (743K) | (9.6M) | (8.7M) | (7.8M) | (7.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 427K | 346K | 1.2M | 368K | 331.2K | 314.6K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (5.3M) | (573K) | (2.8M) | (1.1M) | (971.1K) | (922.5K) | |
| Investments | (1.2M) | (878K) | (3.2M) | (2.4M) | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (12.2M) | 2.3M | (3.1M) | 3.7M | 3.4M | 3.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.7M | (432K) | (2.0M) | (2.5M) | (2.2M) | (2.1M) |
SIFCO Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SIFCO Industries or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SIFCO Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SIFCO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
SIFCO Industries Volatility Alert
SIFCO Industries shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SIFCO Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SIFCO Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.SIFCO Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing SIFCO Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SIFCO Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SIFCO Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SIFCO Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SIFCO Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIFCO Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare SIFCO Industries to competition |
| Fundamentals | SIFCO Industries | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.24 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0256 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 68.41 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 35.68 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.4 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.16 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.83 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 87.02 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (1.85 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (782 K) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (8.69 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.17 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 37.45 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.70 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.37 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.36 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.35) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 15.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 368 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.24 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 22.93 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 95.99 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 23.26 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 522 K | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 35.71 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 228 shares by Donald Molten of SIFCO Industries at 4.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
SIFCO Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SIFCO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About SIFCO Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell SIFCO Industries? Buying financial instruments such as SIFCO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out SIFCO Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in SIFCO Stock please use our How to Invest in SIFCO Industries guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SIFCO Industries. If investors know SIFCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SIFCO Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share (1.35) | Revenue Per Share 16.974 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.339 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of SIFCO Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SIFCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SIFCO Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SIFCO Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SIFCO Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SIFCO Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SIFCO Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SIFCO Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SIFCO Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.