San Juan Basin Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SJT Stock  USD 4.10  0.06  1.49%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding San Juan Basin is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell San Juan Basin given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards San Juan. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for San Juan Basin, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out San Juan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as San and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. San Juan Basin. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Execute San Juan Buy or Sell Advice

The San recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on San Juan Basin. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in San Juan Basin or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute San Juan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell San JuanBuy San Juan
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon San Juan Basin has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0966, Jensen Alpha of 0.1698, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.0824 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2946
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on San Juan. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure San Juan Basin is not overpriced, please validate all San Juan fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the ebitda and market capitalization . Given that San Juan Basin has a price to earning of 73.08 X, we advise you to double-check San Juan Basin market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

San Juan Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

San Juan Basin has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Declares No Cash Distribution for November 2024 and Announces ...

San Juan Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of San Juan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of San Juan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of San Juan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use San Juan Basin price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of San Juan returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for San Juan.
Mean Return
0.30
Value At Risk
-2.75
Potential Upside
5.57
Standard Deviation
2.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of San Juan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

San Stock Institutional Investors

The San Juan's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase San Juan's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Raymond James Finl Svs Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
141.7 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
123.1 K
Moors & Cabot Inc2024-09-30
118 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
107.5 K
Price Jennifer C.2024-09-30
57.7 K
Ingalls & Snyder Llc2024-09-30
55.7 K
Creative Planning Inc2024-06-30
52.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
52.1 K
Warren Averett Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
43.3 K
Cannell Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny2024-09-30
1.3 M
Note, although San Juan's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

San Juan Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(392.5K)656.7K2.9M77.6M89.2M93.7M
Free Cash Flow7.7M656.7K2.9M77.6M89.2M144.2M
Begin Period Cash Flow2.1M1.7M656.7K2.9M77.6M81.5M
Dividends Paid8.1M7.4M36.0M77.6M89.2M52.2M
Total Cash From Operating Activities7.7M656.7K2.9M77.6M89.2M51.0M
Net Income8.1M7.4M36.0M77.6M51.6M56.3M
Total Cash From Financing Activities(8.1M)(7.4M)(36.0M)(77.6M)(69.8M)(73.3M)
End Period Cash Flow1.7M656.7K2.9M77.6M89.2M93.7M
Other Non Cash Items(392.5K)(7.4M)(36.0M)(77.6M)(51.6M)(49.1M)

San Juan Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to San Juan or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that San Juan's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a San stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

San Juan Volatility Alert

San Juan Basin currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure San Juan's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact San Juan's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

San Juan Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing San Juan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze San Juan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between San Juan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as San Juan or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of San Juan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing San Juan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare San Juan to competition
FundamentalsSan JuanPeer Average
Return On Equity0.71-0.31
Return On Asset0.85-0.14
Profit Margin1.57 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin1.52 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation190 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding46.61 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions10.98 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.01 M4.71 M
Price To Earning73.08 X28.72 X
Price To Book71.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales15.22 X11.42 X
Revenue53.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit37.62 M27.38 B
EBITDA51.85 M3.9 B
Net Income51.64 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.57 M5.32 B
Current Ratio1.19 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations77.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.19 X3.12 X
Target Price20.5
Beta0.84-0.15
Market Capitalization191.1 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.33 M29.47 B
Working Capital1000 K1.48 B
Current Asset2.87 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.87 M7.9 B
Annual Yield0.09 %
Five Year Return9.47 %
Net Asset4.33 M
Note: Disposition of 7300 shares by Alpine Capital Lp of San Juan at 19.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

San Juan Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as San . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About San Juan Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell San Juan Basin? Buying financial instruments such as San Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for San Stock Analysis

When running San Juan's price analysis, check to measure San Juan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy San Juan is operating at the current time. Most of San Juan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of San Juan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move San Juan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of San Juan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.