Spectrum Brands Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SPB Stock  USD 91.66  1.21  1.34%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Spectrum Brands Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Spectrum Brands buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SPB positions.
  
Check out Spectrum Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Spectrum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Spectrum Brands Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Spectrum Brands Buy or Sell Advice

The Spectrum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Spectrum Brands Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Spectrum Brands Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Spectrum Brands' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Spectrum BrandsBuy Spectrum Brands
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Spectrum Brands Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0134, Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.22), Sortino Ratio of (0.07) and Treynor Ratio of 0.013
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Spectrum Brands Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Spectrum Brands Holdings. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Spectrum Brands Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Spectrum Brands fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Spectrum Brands Holdings has a price to earning of 10.60 X, we advise you to double-check Spectrum Brands Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Spectrum Brands Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Spectrum Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Spectrum Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Energizer Q3 Earnings Report Preview What To Look For

Spectrum Brands Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Spectrum Brands' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Spectrum Brands' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Spectrum Brands daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Spectrum Brands Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Spectrum Brands returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Spectrum Brands.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-2.23
Potential Upside
1.87
Standard Deviation
1.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Spectrum Brands historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Spectrum Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
550 K
Armistice Capital, Llc2024-09-30
495 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
477 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
443.6 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
440.6 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
432.1 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
428.8 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
390.8 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
387.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.9 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
M
Note, although Spectrum Brands' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Spectrum Brands Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(5.9M)(219.6M)(153.7M)328.3M8.5M8.9M
Change In Cash(93.4M)(343.7M)53.9M510M(383.4M)(364.2M)
Free Cash Flow229.3M244.8M(117.8M)(468.7M)118.6M103.6M
Depreciation148.5M117M99.3M91.2M101.8M85.0M
Other Non Cash Items284.7M213.1M164.6M(1M)(54.5M)(51.8M)
Capital Expenditures61M43.6M64M59M44M37.0M
Net Income28.5M15.3M(77M)1.8B99.3M51.8M
End Period Cash Flow533.7M190M243.9M753.9M370.5M384.1M
Dividends Paid75.2M71.5M68.6M66.5M50.6M37.1M
Investments176.1M73.1M(359.8M)3.2B1.0B1.1B
Net Borrowings153M7.8M727.3M(1.6B)(1.5B)(1.4B)
Change To Netincome76.3M(18.2M)(224.7M)(2.4B)(2.2B)(2.0B)

Spectrum Brands Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spectrum Brands or Household Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spectrum Brands' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spectrum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Spectrum Brands Volatility Alert

Spectrum Brands Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.13 and kurtosis of 3.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spectrum Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spectrum Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Spectrum Brands Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Spectrum Brands' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Spectrum Brands' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Spectrum Brands and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Spectrum Brands or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Spectrum Brands' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spectrum Brands by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Spectrum Brands to competition
FundamentalsSpectrum BrandsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0602-0.31
Return On Asset0.0154-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.82 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding28.05 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.42 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.68 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.37 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.60 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.87 X11.42 X
Revenue2.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit924.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA323.9 M3.9 B
Net Income99.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents243.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.07 X5.01 X
Total Debt638.4 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share74.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations162.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.26 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.02 X4.89 X
Target Price104.88
Number Of Employees3.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.22-0.15
Market Capitalization2.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.17 B9.33 B
Working Capital891.5 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by David Maura of 22435 shares of Spectrum Brands at 90.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Spectrum Brands Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Spectrum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Spectrum Brands Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Spectrum Brands Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Spectrum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Spectrum Brands in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Large & Mid Caps ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Large & Mid Caps ETFs
Large & Mid Caps ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Large & Mid Caps ETFs theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large & Mid Caps ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Spectrum Brands Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Spectrum Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Spectrum Brands Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Spectrum Brands Holdings Stock:
Check out Spectrum Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spectrum Brands. If investors know Spectrum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spectrum Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
3.26
Revenue Per Share
90.951
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
0.0154
The market value of Spectrum Brands Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spectrum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spectrum Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spectrum Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spectrum Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spectrum Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spectrum Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spectrum Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spectrum Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.