Spirit Aerosystems Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SPR Stock | USD 34.88 0.87 2.56% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Spirit Aerosystems Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Spirit Aerosystems Holdings within the specified time frame.
Check out Spirit Aerosystems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Spirit and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Spirit Aerosystems Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Spirit |
Execute Spirit Aerosystems Buy or Sell Advice
The Spirit recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Spirit Aerosystems Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Spirit Aerosystems Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Spirit Aerosystems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Spirit Aerosystems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.05 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (616.2 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (629.3 M). | |
| Spirit Aerosystems Holdings has about 658.6 M in cash with (225.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.37. | |
| Spirit Aerosystems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Spirit shareholder vote on Boeing deal set for later this week in spite of lawsuits - The Business Journals |
Spirit Aerosystems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Spirit Aerosystems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Spirit Aerosystems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Spirit Aerosystems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Spirit Aerosystems Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Spirit Aerosystems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Spirit Aerosystems.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -1.67 | Potential Upside | 2.08 | Standard Deviation | 1.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Spirit Aerosystems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Spirit Stock Institutional Investors
The Spirit Aerosystems' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Spirit Aerosystems' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Maple Rock Capital Partners, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Man Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Nomura Holdings Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 14.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.6 M |
Spirit Aerosystems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (39.5M) | 30.9M | (118.2M) | (295.1M) | (339.4M) | (322.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | (474.1M) | (394.7M) | (820M) | 167.5M | 150.8M | 158.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (863.8M) | (213.8M) | (516.2M) | (373.8M) | (336.4M) | (319.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 277.6M | 327.6M | 337.1M | 315.6M | 362.9M | 209.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 335.9M | (271.9M) | (53.2M) | (99.5M) | (89.6M) | (85.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 118.9M | 150.6M | 121.6M | 148M | 133.2M | 187.3M | |
| Net Income | (870.3M) | (540.8M) | (546.2M) | (616.2M) | (554.6M) | (526.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.9B | 1.5B | 678.4M | 845.9M | 972.8M | 764.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 124.9M | 190.5M | (97.3M) | 24.2M | 27.8M | 31.0M | |
| Change Receivables | 12.8M | 168.3M | 51.5M | (39.4M) | (45.3M) | (47.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 250M | 400M | (153.6M) | 900M | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.4M | 4.3M | 4.2M | 1M | 1.2M | 1.1M | |
| Investments | (502M) | (163.8M) | (155.5M) | (143.2M) | (164.7M) | (172.9M) |
Spirit Aerosystems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spirit Aerosystems or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spirit Aerosystems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spirit stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Spirit Aerosystems Volatility Alert
Spirit Aerosystems Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.16 and kurtosis of 2.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spirit Aerosystems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spirit Aerosystems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Spirit Aerosystems Implied Volatility
Spirit Aerosystems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Spirit Aerosystems Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Spirit Aerosystems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Spirit Aerosystems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Spirit Aerosystems' options are near their expiration.
Spirit Aerosystems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Spirit Aerosystems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Spirit Aerosystems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Spirit Aerosystems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Spirit Aerosystems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Spirit Aerosystems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spirit Aerosystems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Spirit Aerosystems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Spirit Aerosystems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -5.33 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0958 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.22) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.24) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 9 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 116.91 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.15 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.05 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (629.3 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 41 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (616.2 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 658.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (16.64) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (225.8 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.95 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (12.13) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.30 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 36.65 | |
| Number Of Employees | 20.66 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.85 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.98 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.95 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 616.3 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.55 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 3.3 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Brown Gregory Lewis of 8014 shares of Spirit Aerosystems subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Spirit Aerosystems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Spirit . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Spirit Aerosystems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Spirit Aerosystems Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Spirit Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Spirit Stock Analysis
When running Spirit Aerosystems' price analysis, check to measure Spirit Aerosystems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirit Aerosystems is operating at the current time. Most of Spirit Aerosystems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirit Aerosystems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirit Aerosystems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirit Aerosystems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.