Smith Wesson Brands Stock Market Outlook
| SWBI Stock | USD 11.75 0.07 0.60% |
Under 63% of all Smith Wesson's traders are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Smith Wesson Brands stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Smith Wesson's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Smith Wesson Brands.
Comfort Level 63
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Smith Wesson's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Smith Wesson Brands.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Smith Wesson Brands is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Smith Wesson's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Smith Wesson Advice
The Smith recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smith Wesson Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smith Wesson Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smith Wesson's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Smith Wesson Brands has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1411, Jensen Alpha of 0.4804, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2869, Sortino Ratio of 0.3405 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6546Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Smith Wesson and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Smith Wesson Brands is not overpriced, please validate all Smith Wesson fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Smith Wesson Brands has a price to earning of 2.18 X, we advise you to double-check Smith Wesson Brands market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Smith Wesson Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Smith Wesson Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Smith Wesson Brands currently holds about 110.45 M in cash with (7.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41. | |
| Smith Wesson Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 2nd of January 2026 Smith Wesson paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from clickondetroit.com: Parents of Colorado school shooter wont face gun charges, sheriffs office says |
Smith Wesson Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Smith Wesson's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smith Wesson's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smith Wesson daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smith Wesson Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smith Wesson returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Smith Wesson.
| Mean Return | 0.54 | Value At Risk | -2.32 | Potential Upside | 4.08 | Standard Deviation | 3.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smith Wesson historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Smith Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 370.1 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 342 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 332.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 296.5 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 283.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 213.2 K | Punch Card Management, L.p. | 2025-06-30 | 189.9 K | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 173.3 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2025-06-30 | 142.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 4.1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 2.8 M |
Smith Wesson Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 7.7M | (67.2M) | 7.3M | (35.6M) | (32.0M) | (30.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 113.6M | (73.2M) | 15.8M | (29.0M) | (33.4M) | (31.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 30.1M | 31.4M | 32.6M | 31.8M | 36.6M | 24.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.4M | (82K) | (5.6M) | (4.3M) | (5.0M) | (5.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 24.3M | 89.9M | 90.9M | 21.8M | 25.1M | 27.3M | |
| Net Income | 194.5M | 36.9M | 39.6M | 13.4M | 15.4M | 14.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 120.7M | 53.6M | 60.8M | 25.2M | 29.0M | 54.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (58.2M) | (40.5M) | 16.6M | (29.3M) | (26.4M) | (25.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.0M | 18.3M | 22.0M | 23.1M | 20.8M | 19.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.1M) | 25M | 13.6M | 39.8M | 45.8M | 48.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 89.5M | (8.2M) | 3.1M | (1.8M) | (2.1M) | (2.0M) | |
| Investments | (24.1M) | (89.8M) | (81.5M) | (19.2M) | (22.0M) | (23.2M) |
Smith Wesson Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smith Wesson or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smith Wesson's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smith stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Smith Wesson Volatility Alert
Smith Wesson Brands has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.29 and kurtosis of 35.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smith Wesson's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smith Wesson's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Smith Wesson Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Smith Wesson's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smith Wesson's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smith Wesson and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smith Wesson or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smith Wesson's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith Wesson by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Smith Wesson to competition |
| Fundamentals | Smith Wesson | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0252 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0196 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 615.5 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.49 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 52.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.18 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 474.66 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 121.98 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 55.71 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 13.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 110.45 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 114.73 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.12 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.84 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.22 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.56 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.45 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.41 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.07 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 522.8 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 559.61 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 532.62 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 210.62 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Deana McPherson of 63766 shares of Smith Wesson subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Smith Wesson Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smith . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Smith Wesson Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Smith Wesson Brands? Buying financial instruments such as Smith Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Smith Wesson in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Smith Wesson Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is there potential for Leisure Products market expansion? Will Smith introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Wesson. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Smith Wesson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Smith Wesson Brands's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Smith's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Smith Wesson's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Smith Wesson's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Wesson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Wesson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Wesson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.