Swire Pacific (Germany) Market Outlook

SWI Stock  EUR 8.40  0.05  0.59%   
Roughly 62% of Swire Pacific's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Swire Pacific Limited stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Swire Pacific's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Swire Pacific Limited stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 38

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Swire Pacific's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Swire Pacific Limited.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Swire Pacific Limited is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Swire Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SWI positions.

Execute Swire Pacific Advice

The Swire recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Swire Pacific Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Swire Pacific Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Swire Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Swire PacificBuy Swire Pacific
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Swire Pacific Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1085, Jensen Alpha of 0.1717, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0976, Sortino Ratio of 0.1137 and Treynor Ratio of 4.35
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Swire Pacific. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Swire Pacific Limited is not overpriced, please validate all Swire Pacific fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

Swire Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Swire Pacific Ltd. Sees Significant Growth in Short Interest - MarketBeat

Swire Pacific Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Swire Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Swire Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Swire Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Swire Pacific Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Swire Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Swire Pacific.
Mean Return
0.18
Value At Risk
-1.74
Potential Upside
2.76
Standard Deviation
1.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Swire Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Swire Pacific Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.4B)(3.8B)(1.3B)(2.4B)(2.2B)(2.0B)
Investments(4.5B)(1.7B)(341M)183M210.5M221.0M
Change In Cash(6.7B)(11.8B)1.2B8.5B7.6B8.0B
Net Borrowings(7.9B)5.9B(2.4B)22.2B25.6B26.8B
Depreciation4.0B4.0B5.4B4.1B4.8B4.3B
Dividends Paid3.0B4.1B16.1B4.6B5.3B6.0B
Capital Expenditures3.8B3.1B3.6B4.6B4.1B3.3B
Net Income3.4B4.2B28.9B4.3B3.9B3.7B
Change To Netincome(437M)17.9B5.6B(4M)(4.6M)(4.8M)
End Period Cash Flow22.5B10.8B11.8B19.8B22.8B16.7B
Free Cash Flow7.4B4.7B6.3B5.9B5.3B6.2B
Other Non Cash Items373M538M(19M)(141M)(162.2M)(154.0M)

Swire Pacific Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Swire Pacific or Industrial Conglomerates sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Swire Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Swire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Swire Pacific Volatility Alert

Swire Pacific Limited has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.77 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Swire Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Swire Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Swire Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Swire Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Swire Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Swire Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Swire Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Swire Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swire Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Swire Pacific to competition
FundamentalsSwire PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0034-0.31
Return On Asset0.0145-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.08 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding778.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders56.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.16 %39.21 %
Price To Earning3.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.35 X11.42 X
Revenue81.97 B9.43 B
Gross Profit32.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA13.85 B3.9 B
Net Income4.32 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.3 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt15.77 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity22.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.14 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.46 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.10 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.34 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees87 K18.84 K
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization30.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset476.56 B29.47 B
Working Capital3.4 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return3.50 %
Net Asset476.56 B
Last Dividend Paid3.4

Swire Pacific Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Swire . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Swire Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Swire Pacific Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Swire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Swire Pacific in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Swire Stock

Swire Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swire with respect to the benefits of owning Swire Pacific security.