Third Avenue Value Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TAVFX Fund  USD 65.15  0.19  0.29%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Third Avenue Value is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Third Avenue Value given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Third Avenue. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Third Avenue Value, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Third Avenue Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Third and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Third Avenue Value. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Third Avenue Buy or Sell Advice

The Third recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Third Avenue Value. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Third Avenue Value or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Third Avenue's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Third AvenueBuy Third Avenue
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Third Avenue Value has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.1), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27) and Treynor Ratio of 1.57
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Third Avenue Value that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Third Avenue Value. Our advice engine determines the fund's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. Use Third Avenue annual yield and net asset to ensure your buy or sell decision on Third Avenue Value is adequate.

Third Avenue Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Third Avenue Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.55% of its assets in cash

Third Avenue Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Third Avenue's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Third Avenue's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Third Avenue daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Third Avenue Value price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Third Avenue returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Third Avenue.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-1.66
Potential Upside
1.64
Standard Deviation
1.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Third Avenue historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Third Avenue Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Third Avenue or Third Avenue sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Third Avenue's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Third fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Third Avenue Volatility Alert

Third Avenue Value exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of 1.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Third Avenue's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Third Avenue's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Third Avenue Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Third Avenue's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Third Avenue's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Third Avenue and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Third Avenue or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Third Avenue's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Third Avenue by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Third Avenue to competition
FundamentalsThird AvenuePeer Average
Price To Earning18.05 X6.53 X
Price To Book1.34 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.31 X0.61 X
Annual Yield0.02 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return2.40 %0.39 %
One Year Return10.70 %4.15 %
Three Year Return11.33 %3.60 %
Five Year Return14.25 %3.24 %
Ten Year Return0.96 %1.79 %
Net Asset760.44 M4.11 B
Minimum Initial Investment10 K976.16 K
Last Dividend Paid0.30.65
Cash Position Weight6.55 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight93.45 %63.90 %

Third Avenue Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Third . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Third Avenue Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Third Avenue Value? Buying financial instruments such as Third Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Third Avenue in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Giant Impact
Giant Impact Theme
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Third Mutual Fund

Third Avenue financial ratios help investors to determine whether Third Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Third with respect to the benefits of owning Third Avenue security.
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