Top Ships Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TOPS Stock  USD 7.80  0.10  1.30%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding TOP Ships is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell TOP Ships given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards TOP Ships. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for TOP Ships, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out TOP Ships Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy TOP Stock please use our How to Invest in TOP Ships guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TOP and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. TOP Ships. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute TOP Ships Buy or Sell Advice

The TOP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TOP Ships. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TOP Ships or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TOP Ships' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TOP ShipsBuy TOP Ships
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon TOP Ships has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.30), Total Risk Alpha of (0.57) and Treynor Ratio of (0.62)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on TOP Ships. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this particular time. To make sure TOP Ships is not overpriced, please validate all TOP Ships fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and beta . Given that TOP Ships has a number of shares shorted of 90.08 K, we advise you to double-check TOP Ships market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

TOP Ships Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TOP Ships generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TOP Ships has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
TOP Ships currently holds 260.83 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. TOP Ships has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about TOP Ships' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 75.0% of TOP Ships outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Technical Pivots with Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily

TOP Ships Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TOP Ships' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TOP Ships' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TOP Ships daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TOP Ships price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TOP Ships returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TOP Ships.
Mean Return
-0.25
Value At Risk
-2.95
Potential Upside
5.29
Standard Deviation
2.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TOP Ships historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TOP Stock Institutional Investors

The TOP Ships' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase TOP Ships' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
16.7 K
Cetera Investment Advisers2024-06-30
14.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
2.2 K
Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec2024-06-30
1.4 K
Oarsman Capital, Inc2024-09-30
1000
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
622
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
138
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
4.0
Ncp Inc.2024-09-30
1.0
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co2024-06-30
1.0
Note, although TOP Ships' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TOP Ships Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash5.6M10.1M(17.0M)18.2M15.4M16.2M
Free Cash Flow(184.0M)(114.8M)(99.5M)(183.3M)27.3M28.6M
Depreciation12.4M13.2M15.6M21.9M14.3M13.7M
Other Non Cash Items3.6M6.2M840K2.4M12.3M12.9M
Capital Expenditures63.6M203.2M120.8M115.5M216.7M0.0
Net Income(14.8M)(22.8M)8.6M18.9M6.1M6.4M
End Period Cash Flow13.3M23.3M6.4M24.5M36.0M22.6M
Change To Inventory(385K)334K(157K)(355K)111K105.5K
Investments(203.3M)(7.9M)(76.7M)(142.7M)2.5M2.6M
Net Borrowings61.2M189.0M(209.4M)46.5M41.8M25.3M
Change To Netincome(2.3M)14.7M12.3M1.8M2.1M3.3M

TOP Ships Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TOP Ships or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TOP Ships' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TOP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
2.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

TOP Ships Volatility Alert

TOP Ships exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.51 and kurtosis of 1.87. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TOP Ships' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TOP Ships' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TOP Ships Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TOP Ships' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TOP Ships' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TOP Ships and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TOP Ships or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TOP Ships' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TOP Ships by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TOP Ships to competition
FundamentalsTOP ShipsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0137-0.31
Return On Asset0.0381-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation296.34 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders74.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions6.49 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted90.08 K4.71 M
Price To Earning0.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.26 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.42 X11.42 X
Revenue82.95 M9.43 B
Gross Profit49.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA43.08 M3.9 B
Net Income6.07 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.27 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt260.83 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share30.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations27.27 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(13.56) X3.12 X
Target Price29.0
Beta1.74-0.15
Market Capitalization35.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset459.19 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(311.74 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.64 M)1.48 B
Current Asset5.27 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities18.27 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 27500 shares by Ronin Capital, Llc of TOP Ships at 3.865 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

TOP Ships Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TOP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TOP Ships Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TOP Ships? Buying financial instruments such as TOP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having TOP Ships in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Absolute Returns ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Absolute Returns ETFs
Absolute Returns ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Absolute Returns ETFs theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Absolute Returns ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for TOP Stock Analysis

When running TOP Ships' price analysis, check to measure TOP Ships' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TOP Ships is operating at the current time. Most of TOP Ships' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TOP Ships' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TOP Ships' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TOP Ships to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.