Timothy Plan Defensive Fund Market Outlook

TPDIX Fund  USD 18.97  0.22  1.17%   
Slightly above 52% of Timothy Plan's investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Timothy Plan Defensive mutual fund suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Timothy Plan's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Timothy Plan's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 52

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Timothy Plan's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Timothy Plan Defensive.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Timothy Plan Defensive is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Timothy Plan Defensive given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Timothy Plan Defensive, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Timothy Plan Advice

The Timothy recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Timothy Plan Defensive. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Timothy Plan Defensive or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Timothy Plan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Timothy PlanBuy Timothy Plan
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Timothy Plan Defensive has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1862, Jensen Alpha of 0.1751, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1327, Sortino Ratio of 0.1132 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4616
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Timothy Plan and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use Timothy Plan year to date return and minimum initial investment to ensure your buy or sell decision on Timothy Plan Defensive is adequate.

Timothy Plan Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund maintains about 10.17% of its assets in cash

Timothy Plan Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Timothy Plan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Timothy Plan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Timothy Plan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Timothy Plan Defensive price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Timothy Plan returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Timothy Plan.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-1.39
Potential Upside
1.19
Standard Deviation
0.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Timothy Plan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Timothy Plan Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Timothy Plan or Timothy Plan sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Timothy Plan's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Timothy fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Timothy Plan Volatility Alert

Timothy Plan Defensive has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.17 and kurtosis of 4.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Timothy Plan's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Timothy Plan's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Timothy Plan Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Timothy Plan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Timothy Plan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Timothy Plan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Timothy Plan or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Timothy Plan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timothy Plan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Timothy Plan to competition
FundamentalsTimothy PlanPeer Average
Price To Earning22.63 X6.53 X
Price To Book1.53 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.49 X0.61 X
Annual Yield0.01 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return11.72 %0.39 %
One Year Return33.18 %4.15 %
Three Year Return15.38 %3.60 %
Five Year Return10.45 %3.24 %
Ten Year Return2.82 %1.79 %
Net Asset99.38 M4.11 B
Minimum Initial Investment100 K976.16 K
Last Dividend Paid0.090.65
Cash Position Weight10.17 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight39.15 %63.90 %
Bond Positions Weight27.29 %11.24 %

Timothy Plan Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timothy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Timothy Plan Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Timothy Plan Defensive? Buying financial instruments such as Timothy Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Processed Foods
Processed Foods Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Plan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Plan security.
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