Travis Perkins (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TPK Stock | 760.50 16.50 2.12% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Travis Perkins PLC is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Travis Perkins buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TPK positions.
Check out Travis Perkins Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Travis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Travis Perkins PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Travis |
Execute Travis Perkins Buy or Sell Advice
The Travis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Travis Perkins PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Travis Perkins PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Travis Perkins' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Travis Perkins Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Travis Perkins PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Travis Perkins paid 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Travis Perkins Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Travis Perkins' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Travis Perkins' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Travis Perkins daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Travis Perkins PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Travis Perkins returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Travis Perkins.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -2.8 | Potential Upside | 2.52 | Standard Deviation | 1.63 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Travis Perkins historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Travis Perkins Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (104.2M) | 70M | (204.5M) | (3.4M) | 200K | 210K | |
| Change In Cash | (47.5M) | 297.7M | (45.8M) | (236.6M) | (91.7M) | (87.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 235.8M | 384.9M | 164.6M | 117M | 83.6M | 108.3M | |
| Depreciation | 295.3M | 158.1M | 170M | 169.6M | 181.9M | 191.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.4M | 286.1M | (56.5M) | (138.8M) | (44.3M) | (46.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 133.6M | 102.3M | 164.7M | 139.1M | 131.1M | 88.0M | |
| Net Income | 441.5M | (35.6M) | 348.5M | 284.8M | 38.1M | 36.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 207.9M | 505.6M | 459.8M | 223.2M | 131.5M | 138.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 116.1M | 116.2M | 105.4M | 81.7M | 82.1M | 75.0M | |
| Investments | (20.6M) | (7.7M) | 1M | (115.2M) | (58.9M) | (61.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (175.6M) | (174.6M) | (87.5M) | (123.8M) | (111.4M) | (105.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 176.2M | 103.4M | 59.6M | (22M) | (25.3M) | (24.0M) |
Travis Perkins Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Travis Perkins or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Travis Perkins' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Travis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Travis Perkins Volatility Alert
Travis Perkins PLC exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.06 and kurtosis of 0.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Travis Perkins' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Travis Perkins' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Travis Perkins Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Travis Perkins' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Travis Perkins' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Travis Perkins and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Travis Perkins or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Travis Perkins' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Travis Perkins by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Travis Perkins to competition |
| Fundamentals | Travis Perkins | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0084 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0142 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.51 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 210.84 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.57 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.86 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.38 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 306.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 38.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.05 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 217.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.08) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 920.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 19.17 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.52 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.68 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.03 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 638.5 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 4.03 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.11 |
Travis Perkins Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Travis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15479.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.51) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 770.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 767.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (18.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (16.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 30.55 |
About Travis Perkins Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Travis Perkins PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Travis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Travis Stock
Travis Perkins financial ratios help investors to determine whether Travis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Travis with respect to the benefits of owning Travis Perkins security.