Transurban Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TRAUF Stock  USD 8.86  0.05  0.57%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Transurban Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Transurban buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TRAUF positions.
  
Check out Transurban Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Transurban and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Transurban Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Transurban Buy or Sell Advice

The Transurban recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Transurban Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Transurban Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Transurban's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TransurbanBuy Transurban
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Transurban Group has a Mean Deviation of 0.9621, Standard Deviation of 2.26 and Variance of 5.09
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Transurban. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Transurban Group is not overpriced, please validate all Transurban fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Transurban Group has a price to book of 2.92 X, we advise you to double-check Transurban Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Transurban Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Transurban Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Transurban Group has accumulated 16.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Transurban Group has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Transurban until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Transurban's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Transurban Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Transurban to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Transurban's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of Transurban shares are owned by institutional investors

Transurban Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Transurban's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Transurban's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Transurban daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Transurban Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Transurban returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Transurban.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-5.66
Potential Upside
4.62
Standard Deviation
2.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Transurban historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Transurban Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Transurban or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Transurban's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Transurban pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Transurban Volatility Alert

Transurban Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.36 and kurtosis of 5.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Transurban's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Transurban's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Transurban Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Transurban's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Transurban's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Transurban and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Transurban or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Transurban's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transurban by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Transurban to competition
FundamentalsTransurbanPeer Average
Return On Equity0.012-0.31
Return On Asset0.0146-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation39.51 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.08 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions55.07 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.54 X11.42 X
Revenue3.41 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.64 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.65 B3.9 B
Net Income19 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.04 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt16.58 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4,393 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations982 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.04 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees3.6 K18.84 K
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization30.02 B19.03 B
Total Asset38.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.13 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(649 M)1.48 B
Current Asset956 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.6 B7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.74 %

Transurban Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Transurban . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Transurban Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Transurban Group? Buying financial instruments such as Transurban Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Transurban Pink Sheet

Transurban financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transurban Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transurban with respect to the benefits of owning Transurban security.