Tamarack Valley Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TVE Stock  CAD 4.47  0.14  3.04%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Tamarack Valley Energy is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Tamarack Valley's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Tamarack Valley Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tamarack and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tamarack Valley Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Tamarack Valley Buy or Sell Advice

The Tamarack recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tamarack Valley Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tamarack Valley Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tamarack Valley's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tamarack ValleyBuy Tamarack Valley
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Tamarack Valley Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0766, Jensen Alpha of 0.1967, Total Risk Alpha of (0.16), Sortino Ratio of 0.0326 and Treynor Ratio of 1.85
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Tamarack Valley. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Tamarack Valley Energy is not overpriced, please validate all Tamarack Valley fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations .

Tamarack Valley Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tamarack Valley Energy has accumulated 922.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Tamarack Valley Energy has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tamarack Valley until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tamarack Valley's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tamarack Valley Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tamarack to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tamarack Valley's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Set Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd Target Price at C5.23 - MarketBeat

Tamarack Valley Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tamarack Valley's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tamarack Valley's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tamarack Valley daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tamarack Valley Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tamarack Valley returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tamarack Valley.
Mean Return
0.22
Value At Risk
-3.54
Potential Upside
3.16
Standard Deviation
2.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tamarack Valley historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tamarack Valley Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Free Cash Flow16.3M21.7M(349.5M)(606.5M)115.2M120.9M
Depreciation259.1M515.0M(193.1M)377.7M639.1M671.1M
Capital Expenditures188.9M103.5M647.4M1.4B516.5M542.3M
Net Income(39.0M)(311.4M)390.5M345.2M94.2M98.9M
Other Non Cash Items921K(2.6M)(4.9M)(38.1M)74.7M78.5M
Net Borrowings31.5M14.4M224.4M410.7M472.3M495.9M
Change To Netincome15.9M(91.9M)109.9M54.9M63.1M66.3M
Investments(202.6M)(181.6M)(581.1M)(1.3B)(378.0M)(396.9M)

Tamarack Valley Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tamarack Valley or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tamarack Valley's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tamarack stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Tamarack Valley Volatility Alert

Tamarack Valley Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tamarack Valley's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tamarack Valley's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tamarack Valley Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tamarack Valley's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tamarack Valley's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tamarack Valley and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tamarack Valley or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tamarack Valley's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tamarack Valley by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tamarack Valley to competition
FundamentalsTamarack ValleyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0985-0.31
Return On Asset0.0687-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.42 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.21 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding530.98 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions27.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.16 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.29 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.69 X11.42 X
Revenue1.41 B9.43 B
Gross Profit941.44 M27.38 B
EBITDA994.09 M3.9 B
Net Income94.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents97.51 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt922.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.88 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations631.63 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.38 X3.12 X
Target Price5.5
Number Of Employees11018.84 K
Beta2.47-0.15
Market Capitalization2.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.21 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings269.64 M9.33 B
Working Capital(180.21 M)1.48 B
Current Asset29.08 M9.34 B

Tamarack Valley Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tamarack . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tamarack Valley Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tamarack Valley Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Tamarack Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Tamarack Stock

Tamarack Valley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tamarack Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tamarack with respect to the benefits of owning Tamarack Valley security.