Twilio (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TWH Stock  EUR 100.16  0.10  0.1%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Twilio Inc is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Twilio buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Twilio positions.
  
Check out Twilio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Twilio and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Twilio Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Twilio Buy or Sell Advice

The Twilio recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Twilio Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Twilio Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Twilio's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TwilioBuy Twilio
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Twilio Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2713, Jensen Alpha of 0.9445, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5255, Sortino Ratio of 0.5687 and Treynor Ratio of 3.92
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Twilio Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Twilio Inc. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Twilio Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Twilio fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and net income .

Twilio Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the revenue of 3.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 B.
Twilio Inc has accumulated about 1.88 B in cash with (254.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.85.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Twilio Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Twilio's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Twilio's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Twilio daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Twilio Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Twilio returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Twilio.
Mean Return
0.98
Value At Risk
-2.11
Potential Upside
4.55
Standard Deviation
2.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Twilio historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Twilio Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Twilio or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Twilio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Twilio stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
2.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.30

Twilio Volatility Alert

Twilio Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.33 and kurtosis of 10.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Twilio's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Twilio's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Twilio Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Twilio's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Twilio's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Twilio and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Twilio or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Twilio's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Twilio by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Twilio to competition
FundamentalsTwilioPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.12-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0503-0.14
Profit Margin(0.33) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.27) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding174.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.88 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions82.90 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.28 X11.42 X
Revenue3.83 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.81 B27.38 B
EBITDA(751.82 M)3.9 B
Net Income(1.26 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.88 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share13.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt987.38 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity14.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio10.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share56.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(254.37 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(6.40) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth44.57 X4.89 X
Target Price472.42
Number Of Employees8.16 K18.84 K
Beta1.38-0.15
Market Capitalization12.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.56 B29.47 B
Z Score7.28.72
Net Asset12.56 B

Twilio Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Twilio . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Twilio Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Twilio Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Twilio Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Twilio in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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FinTech
FinTech Theme
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Twilio Stock

When determining whether Twilio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Twilio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Twilio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Twilio Inc Stock:
Check out Twilio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twilio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twilio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.