Textron Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TXT Stock  USD 85.38  1.42  1.69%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Textron is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Textron given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Textron. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Textron, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Textron Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Textron Stock please use our How to Invest in Textron guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Textron and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Textron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Textron Buy or Sell Advice

The Textron recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Textron. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Textron or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Textron's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TextronBuy Textron
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Textron has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.31) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Textron to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Textron. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Textron is not overpriced, please validate all Textron fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, target price, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and short ratio . Given that Textron has a price to earning of 37.87 X, we advise you to double-check Textron market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Textron Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Textron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of October 2024 Textron paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Lifetime Aviation Industry Leader Award to be presented to Ronald Draper of Textron Aviation, Crew of Polaris Dawn to receive inaugural Dr. Buzz Aldrin Space Advancement Award

Textron Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Textron's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Textron's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Textron daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Textron price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Textron returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Textron.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-2.06
Potential Upside
1.86
Standard Deviation
1.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Textron historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Textron Stock Institutional Investors

The Textron's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Textron's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
4.1 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
3.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.8 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.6 M
Brandes Investment Partners & Co2024-09-30
1.6 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2024-09-30
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
21.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
15.6 M
Note, although Textron's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Textron Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(292M)434M45M(55M)(359M)(341.1M)
Change In Cash250M897M(137M)(82M)146M153.3M
Free Cash Flow677M452M1.2B1.1B864M664.6M
Depreciation416M391M390M397M395M421.0M
Other Non Cash Items79M156M383M178M179M177.6M
Capital Expenditures339M317M375M354M402M351.2M
Net Income815M309M747M862M922M589.4M
End Period Cash Flow1.4B2.3B2.1B2.0B2.2B2.3B
Investments(266M)(248M)(281M)(447M)(317M)(301.2M)
Change Receivables99M149M(58M)(26M)(29.9M)(28.4M)
Net Borrowings(2M)544M(621M)(248M)(285.2M)(299.5M)
Change To Netincome181M71M462M(128M)(115.2M)(109.4M)

Textron Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Textron or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Textron's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Textron stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Textron Volatility Alert

Textron exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 3.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Textron's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Textron's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Textron Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Textron's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Textron's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Textron and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Textron or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Textron's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Textron by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Textron to competition
FundamentalsTextronPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0479-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding185.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.64 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.89 M4.71 M
Price To Earning37.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.13 X11.42 X
Revenue13.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.56 B3.9 B
Net Income922 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.96 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.87 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.27 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.57 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.81 X4.89 X
Target Price99.27
Number Of Employees35 K18.84 K
Beta1.24-0.15
Market Capitalization15.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.86 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.86 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.03 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ziemer James L of tradable shares of Textron subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Textron Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Textron . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Textron Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Textron? Buying financial instruments such as Textron Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Textron in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Compulsion
Compulsion Theme
Companies involved in research, development, and manufacturing of products with compulsion characteristics such as cigarettes, addictive drugs and alcohol. The Compulsion theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Compulsion Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Textron Stock Analysis

When running Textron's price analysis, check to measure Textron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Textron is operating at the current time. Most of Textron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Textron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Textron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Textron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.