UPM Kymmene (Finland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UPM Stock | EUR 25.32 0.04 0.16% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding UPM Kymmene Oyj is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides UPM Kymmene buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPM positions.
Check out UPM Kymmene Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as UPM and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. UPM Kymmene Oyj. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
UPM |
Execute UPM Kymmene Buy or Sell Advice
The UPM recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on UPM Kymmene Oyj. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in UPM Kymmene Oyj or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute UPM Kymmene's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
UPM Kymmene Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| UPM Kymmene Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
UPM Kymmene Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of UPM Kymmene's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of UPM Kymmene's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of UPM Kymmene daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use UPM Kymmene Oyj price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of UPM Kymmene returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for UPM Kymmene.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -2.76 | Potential Upside | 2.17 | Standard Deviation | 1.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of UPM Kymmene historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
UPM Kymmene Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UPM Kymmene or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UPM Kymmene's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UPM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
UPM Kymmene Volatility Alert
UPM Kymmene Oyj exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.06 and kurtosis of -0.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UPM Kymmene's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UPM Kymmene's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.UPM Kymmene Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing UPM Kymmene's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze UPM Kymmene's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between UPM Kymmene and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as UPM Kymmene or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of UPM Kymmene's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UPM Kymmene by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare UPM Kymmene to competition |
| Fundamentals | UPM Kymmene | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0567 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 23.48 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 533.32 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 47.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 8.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.63 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.68 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.81 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.25 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.11 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.29 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 769 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.44 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.04 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 13.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.17 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.44 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.25 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.56 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.58 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 38.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 17.24 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 18.69 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 17.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 5.4 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 4.18 % | |
| Net Asset | 17.68 B |
UPM Kymmene Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as UPM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About UPM Kymmene Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell UPM Kymmene Oyj? Buying financial instruments such as UPM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having UPM Kymmene in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now
Momentum
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Other Information on Investing in UPM Stock
UPM Kymmene financial ratios help investors to determine whether UPM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UPM with respect to the benefits of owning UPM Kymmene security.