AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

05348EBA6   96.04  1.13  1.16%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides AVALONBAY buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 05348EBA6 positions.
  
Check out AVALONBAY Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Also, note that the market value of any corporate bond could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute AVALONBAY Buy or Sell Advice

The AVALONBAY recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AVALONBAY's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AVALONBAYBuy AVALONBAY
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Default

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails
For the selected time horizon AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC has a Mean Deviation of 0.1686, Standard Deviation of 0.2414 and Variance of 0.0583
Macroaxis provides trade advice on AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AVALONBAY. Our advice engine determines the bond's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AVALONBAY Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

AVALONBAY Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AVALONBAY's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AVALONBAY's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AVALONBAY daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AVALONBAY returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AVALONBAY.
Mean Return
-0.0044
Value At Risk
-0.44
Potential Upside
0.38
Standard Deviation
0.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AVALONBAY historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AVALONBAY Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AVALONBAY or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AVALONBAY's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AVALONBAY bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0018
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

AVALONBAY Volatility Alert

AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.74 and kurtosis of 1.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AVALONBAY's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AVALONBAY's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AVALONBAY Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AVALONBAY . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AVALONBAY Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC? Buying financial instruments such as AVALONBAY Bond isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AVALONBAY in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now

Momentum
Momentum Theme
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in AVALONBAY Bond

AVALONBAY financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVALONBAY Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVALONBAY with respect to the benefits of owning AVALONBAY security.