Ecopetrol SA 4625 Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

279158AP4   74.54  8.81  10.57%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ecopetrol SA 4625 is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides 279158AP4 buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 279158AP4 positions.
  
Check out 279158AP4 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Also, note that the market value of any corporate bond could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute 279158AP4 Buy or Sell Advice

The 279158AP4 recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ecopetrol SA 4625. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ecopetrol SA 4625 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute 279158AP4's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell 279158AP4Buy 279158AP4
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Default

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails
For the selected time horizon Ecopetrol SA 4625 has a Mean Deviation of 1.36, Standard Deviation of 2.54 and Variance of 6.45
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Ecopetrol SA 4625 that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Ecopetrol SA 4625. Our trade advice engine determines the bond's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

279158AP4 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ecopetrol SA 4625 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

279158AP4 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of 279158AP4's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of 279158AP4's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of 279158AP4 daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ecopetrol SA 4625 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of 279158AP4 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for 279158AP4.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-3.11
Potential Upside
3.19
Standard Deviation
2.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of 279158AP4 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

279158AP4 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 279158AP4 or 279158AP4 sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 279158AP4's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 279158AP4 bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

279158AP4 Volatility Alert

Ecopetrol SA 4625 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.71 and kurtosis of 12.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 279158AP4's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 279158AP4's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

279158AP4 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as 279158AP4 . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About 279158AP4 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ecopetrol SA 4625? Buying financial instruments such as 279158AP4 Bond isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in 279158AP4 Bond

279158AP4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 279158AP4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 279158AP4 with respect to the benefits of owning 279158AP4 security.