Universal Stainless Alloy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| USAP Stock | USD 44.17 0.12 0.27% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universal Stainless Alloy is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Universal Stainless Alloy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Universal Stainless. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Universal Stainless Alloy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Universal Stainless Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Universal Stainless Alloy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Universal |
Execute Universal Stainless Buy or Sell Advice
The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal Stainless Alloy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal Stainless Alloy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal Stainless' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Universal Stainless Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION Halper Sadeh LLC Investigates USAP, ARCH, PWUP, AG on Behalf of ... |
Universal Stainless Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Universal Stainless' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal Stainless' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal Stainless daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal Stainless Alloy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal Stainless returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal Stainless.
| Mean Return | 0.18 | Value At Risk | -4.35 | Potential Upside | 5.18 | Standard Deviation | 2.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal Stainless historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Universal Stock Institutional Investors
The Universal Stainless' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Universal Stainless' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 168.4 K | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 158.4 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 152 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 112 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 95.6 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-06-30 | 93.9 K | Oberweis Asset Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 80.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 77.1 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 74.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 565.4 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 553.1 K |
Universal Stainless Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (15.0M) | 34.3M | (31.0M) | (15.1M) | 7.8M | 8.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (3.9M) | (6K) | (46K) | 1.9M | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.8M) | 14.7M | (29.1M) | (21.0M) | 12.2M | 12.8M | |
| Depreciation | 19.1M | 19.4M | 19.3M | 19.4M | 19.4M | 9.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 56.7M | 11.9M | (10M) | 52.4M | 2.1M | 2.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.4M | 9.2M | 11.1M | 12.1M | 13.0M | 10.6M | |
| Net Income | 4.3M | (19.0M) | (758K) | (8.1M) | 4.9M | 3.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 170K | 164K | 118K | 2.0M | 394K | 374.3K | |
| Change Receivables | (3.0M) | 17.5M | (3.1M) | (9.8M) | (8.8M) | (8.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 17.4M | (24.8M) | 29.4M | 21.0M | 18.9M | 19.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 873K | (3.8M) | (12.1M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) | (1.2M) | |
| Investments | (17.4M) | (9.2M) | (11.1M) | (12.1M) | (13.0M) | (13.7M) |
Universal Stainless Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Stainless or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Stainless' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Universal Stainless Volatility Alert
Universal Stainless Alloy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Stainless' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Stainless' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Universal Stainless Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Universal Stainless' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal Stainless' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal Stainless and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal Stainless or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal Stainless' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Stainless by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Universal Stainless to competition |
| Fundamentals | Universal Stainless | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0661 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 479.37 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 9.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 461.51 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 23.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 285.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.19 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 33.16 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.91 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 66 K | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 85.8 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.70 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.21 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 25.23 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.72 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.73 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 19.55 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 46.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 678 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.93 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 411.23 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 356.69 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 127.52 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 149.91 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 103.75 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 14500 shares by Dennis Oates of Universal Stainless at 26.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Universal Stainless Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Universal Stainless Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Universal Stainless Alloy? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis
When running Universal Stainless' price analysis, check to measure Universal Stainless' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Stainless is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Stainless' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Stainless' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Stainless' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Stainless to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.