Us Foods Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| USFD Stock | USD 67.92 1.35 2.03% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding US Foods Holding is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides US Foods buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding US Foods positions.
Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as USFD and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. US Foods Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
USFD |
Execute US Foods Buy or Sell Advice
The USFD recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on US Foods Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in US Foods Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute US Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
US Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: US Foods to Present at the 2024 Morgan Stanley Global Consumer Retail Conference |
US Foods Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of US Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of US Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of US Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use US Foods Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of US Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for US Foods.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -1.58 | Potential Upside | 2.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.22 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of US Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
USFD Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Sachem Head Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 4.8 M | Bessemer Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 4.7 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 4.7 M | Dorsal Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 4.7 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 3.7 M | Ci Investments Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.5 M | Atalan Capital Partners, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 2.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 24.1 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 22 M |
US Foods Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 16M | 201M | (413M) | 70M | 61M | 64.1M | |
| Change In Cash | (7M) | 730M | (680M) | 63M | 58M | 60.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 502M | 224M | 145M | 500M | 831M | 872.6M | |
| Depreciation | 340M | 362M | 422M | 372M | 395M | 420.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 24M | 28M | 74M | 23M | 57M | 34.9M | |
| Dividends Paid | 0.0 | 28M | 33M | 37M | (7M) | (6.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 258M | 189M | 274M | 265M | 309M | 253.1M | |
| Net Income | 385M | (226M) | 164M | 265M | 506M | 531.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 98M | 828M | 148M | 211M | 269M | 297.1M | |
| Investments | (2.0B) | (1.1B) | (262M) | (255M) | (359M) | (377.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.2B | 920M | (830M) | (417M) | (479.6M) | (455.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 60M | 47M | 92M | 73M | 84.0M | 46.1M | |
| Change Receivables | (19M) | 334M | (386M) | (240M) | (216M) | (205.2M) |
US Foods Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to US Foods or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that US Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a USFD stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
US Foods Volatility Alert
US Foods Holding has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 3.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure US Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact US Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.US Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing US Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze US Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between US Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as US Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of US Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare US Foods to competition |
| Fundamentals | US Foods | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0521 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 20.39 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 232.94 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.66 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 182.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.37 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.42 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 35.6 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.49 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.4 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 506 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 197 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.88 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.2 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.37 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.14 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.33 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 74.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 30 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.51 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.51 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 919 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Dirk Locascio of US Foods subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
US Foods Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as USFD . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About US Foods Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell US Foods Holding? Buying financial instruments such as USFD Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Foods. If investors know USFD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.605 | Earnings Share 2.33 | Revenue Per Share 152.802 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 | Return On Assets 0.0521 |
The market value of US Foods Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USFD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.