Vail Resorts (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VAI Stock  EUR 171.00  1.00  0.58%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vail Resorts is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vail Resorts buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VAI positions.
  
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Vail Stock please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vail and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice

The Vail recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vail Resorts. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vail Resorts or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vail Resorts' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vail ResortsBuy Vail Resorts
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vail Resorts has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0516, Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of (0.18), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1003
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vail Resorts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vail Resorts. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vail Resorts is not overpriced, please validate all Vail Resorts fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

Vail Resorts Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vail Resorts has accumulated €2.67 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Vail Resorts has accumulated 2.67 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Vail Resorts has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vail Resorts until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vail Resorts' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vail Resorts sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vail to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vail Resorts' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Vail Resorts outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Vail Resorts Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vail Resorts' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vail Resorts' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vail Resorts daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vail Resorts price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vail Resorts returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vail Resorts.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.55
Potential Upside
3.05
Standard Deviation
1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vail Resorts historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vail Resorts Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vail Resorts or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vail Resorts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vail stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.0074

Vail Resorts Volatility Alert

Vail Resorts has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of -0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vail Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vail Resorts Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vail Resorts' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vail Resorts' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vail Resorts and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vail Resorts or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vail Resorts' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vail Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vail Resorts to competition
FundamentalsVail ResortsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.0586-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding40.32 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.74 %39.21 %
Price To Earning29.85 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.01 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.98 X11.42 X
Revenue2.53 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA857.74 M3.9 B
Net Income347.92 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents59.64 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.67 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity71.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share31.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations710.5 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share8.10 X3.12 X
Target Price347.82
Number Of Employees6.9 K18.84 K
Beta1.19-0.15
Market Capitalization8.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.32 B29.47 B
Z Score1.88.72
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return1.93 %
Net Asset6.32 B
Last Dividend Paid6.61

Vail Resorts Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vail . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vail Resorts? Buying financial instruments such as Vail Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vail Resorts in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Iron Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Iron Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vail Stock

When determining whether Vail Resorts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vail Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vail Resorts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vail Resorts Stock:
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Vail Stock please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.