Vanguard Long Term Bond Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VBLAX Fund  USD 10.63  0.01  0.09%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vanguard Long Term Bond is 'Not Rated'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vanguard Long Term Bond given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vanguard Long-term. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vanguard Long Term Bond, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vanguard Long-term Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Vanguard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vanguard Long Term Bond. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Vanguard Long-term Buy or Sell Advice

The Vanguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vanguard Long Term Bond. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vanguard Long Term Bond or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vanguard Long-term's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vanguard Long-termBuy Vanguard Long-term
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vanguard Long Term Bond has a Mean Deviation of 0.4794, Standard Deviation of 0.645 and Variance of 0.416
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vanguard Long-term and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Please use Vanguard Long Term total asset and five year return to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Vanguard Long-term.

Vanguard Long-term Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vanguard Long Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vanguard Long Term generated five year return of -3.0%
This fund keeps about 9.19% of its net assets in bonds

Vanguard Long-term Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vanguard Long-term's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vanguard Long-term's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vanguard Long-term daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vanguard Long Term Bond price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vanguard Long-term returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vanguard Long-term.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-1.2
Potential Upside
1.02
Standard Deviation
0.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vanguard Long-term historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vanguard Long-term Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard Long-term or Vanguard sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard Long-term's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Vanguard Long-term Volatility Alert

Vanguard Long Term Bond exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.3 and kurtosis of 0.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanguard Long-term's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanguard Long-term's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vanguard Long-term Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vanguard Long-term's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vanguard Long-term's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vanguard Long-term and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vanguard Long-term or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Long-term's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Long-term by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vanguard Long-term to competition
FundamentalsVanguard Long-termPeer Average
Annual Yield0 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return0.44 %0.39 %
One Year Return8.90 %4.15 %
Three Year Return(8.22) %3.60 %
Five Year Return(2.84) %3.24 %
Ten Year Return8.06 %1.79 %
Net Asset12.37 B4.11 B
Cash Position Weight0.77 %10.61 %
Bond Positions Weight9.19 %11.24 %

Vanguard Long-term Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vanguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vanguard Long-term Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vanguard Long Term Bond? Buying financial instruments such as Vanguard Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vanguard Long-term in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Long-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Long-term security.
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