Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XIN Stock  USD 3.34  0.12  3.73%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xinyuan Real Estate is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Xinyuan Real's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Xinyuan Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xinyuan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Xinyuan Real Estate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Xinyuan Real Buy or Sell Advice

The Xinyuan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xinyuan Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xinyuan Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xinyuan Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Xinyuan RealBuy Xinyuan Real
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Xinyuan Real Estate has a Mean Deviation of 5.15, Semi Deviation of 6.72, Standard Deviation of 8.65, Variance of 74.9, Downside Variance of 58.01 and Semi Variance of 45.17
We provide recommendation to complement the prevalent expert consensus on Xinyuan Real Estate. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Xinyuan Real Estate is not overpriced, please check out all Xinyuan Real Estate fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Xinyuan Real Estate has a price to earning of 1.73 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Xinyuan Real Estate market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Xinyuan Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Xinyuan Real Estate is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Xinyuan Real Estate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Xinyuan Real Estate has about 426.4 M in cash with (270.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 78.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Xinyuan Real Estate has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinyuan Property Management Renews Key Agreements - TipRanks

Xinyuan Real Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Xinyuan Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xinyuan Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xinyuan Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xinyuan Real returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xinyuan Real.
Mean Return
0.62
Value At Risk
-11.41
Potential Upside
13.50
Standard Deviation
8.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xinyuan Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Xinyuan Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Xinyuan Real, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinyuan Real Estate back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.9 K
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
491
Rhumbline Advisers2024-06-30
470
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
160
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
76.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
35.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
1.0
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
0.0
Note, although Xinyuan Real's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xinyuan Real Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(275.2M)(83.4M)157.4M(540.1M)(329.9M)(313.4M)
Free Cash Flow(32.0M)266.7M335.5M133.6M(271.1M)(257.6M)
Depreciation15.1M17.6M17.5M18.3M21.0M22.1M
Other Non Cash Items122.7M40.2M(76.2M)(17.5M)(179.3M)(170.3M)
Capital Expenditures9.1M5.5M1.3M2.1M372.9K354.3K
Net Income106.0M83.0M(67.5M)(413.3M)40.3M20.4M
End Period Cash Flow1.2B1.1B1.3B719.9M230.8M219.3M
Change To Netincome25.7M15.6M(65.4M)150.6M173.2M181.9M
Change To Inventory165.2M853.5M440.5M647.9M(26.0M)(24.7M)
Dividends Paid26.1M25.7M19.6M14.3M4.1M0.0
Investments(43.0M)(194.9M)(27.8M)513.9M(1.1M)(1.2M)
Net Borrowings(243.2M)(389.3M)(672.8M)(56.2M)(50.6M)(48.1M)

Xinyuan Real Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xinyuan Real or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xinyuan Real's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xinyuan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
8.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Xinyuan Real Volatility Alert

Xinyuan Real Estate is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xinyuan Real's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xinyuan Real's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Xinyuan Real Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Xinyuan Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xinyuan Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xinyuan Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xinyuan Real or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xinyuan Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xinyuan Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Xinyuan Real to competition
FundamentalsXinyuan RealPeer Average
Return On Equity0.055-0.31
Return On Asset0.0052-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.61 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted70.89 K4.71 M
Price To Earning1.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.64 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0 X11.42 X
Revenue804.97 M9.43 B
Gross Profit71.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA69.3 M3.9 B
Net Income40.28 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents426.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share78.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.96 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.22 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(5.93) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(270.77 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.58 X3.12 X
Target Price7.16
Number Of Employees1.07 K18.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Market Capitalization19.7 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.33 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(616.74 M)9.33 B
Working Capital346.71 M1.48 B
Current Asset3.26 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.65 B7.9 B

Xinyuan Real Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xinyuan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Xinyuan Real Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Xinyuan Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Xinyuan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Xinyuan Real in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Farming Thematic Idea Now

Farming
Farming Theme
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Xinyuan Real Estate offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Xinyuan Real's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xinyuan Real Estate Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xinyuan Real Estate Stock:
Check out Xinyuan Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.927
Earnings Share
6.58
Revenue Per Share
150.905
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.27)
Return On Assets
0.0052
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.