American Axle Manufacturing Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

AXL Stock  USD 6.58  0.20  3.13%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as American Axle Manufacturing. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in American Axle over a specified time horizon. Remember, high American Axle's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to American Axle's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
2.11
Alpha
(0.19)
Risk
2.53
Sharpe Ratio
(0.0002)
Expected Return
(0.0005)
Please note that although American Axle alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, American Axle did 0.19  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of American Axle Manufacturing stock's relative risk over its benchmark. American Axle Manufa has a beta of 2.11  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Axle will likely underperform. At this time, American Axle's Book Value Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is expected to rise to 2.90 this year, although Enterprise Value Over EBITDA will most likely fall to 4.15.

American Axle Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

615.6 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out American Axle Backtesting, American Axle Valuation, American Axle Correlation, American Axle Hype Analysis, American Axle Volatility, American Axle History and analyze American Axle Performance.

American Axle Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. American Axle market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding American Axle long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in American Axle. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate American Axle's performance over market.
α-0.19   β2.11

American Axle expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of American Axle's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how American Axle performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

American Axle Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how American Axle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Axle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Axle stock market price indicators, traders can identify American Axle position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Axle Return and Market Media

The median price of American Axle for the period between Sat, Aug 24, 2024 and Fri, Nov 22, 2024 is 6.15 with a coefficient of variation of 4.03. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.25, arithmetic mean of 6.15, and mean deviation of 0.19. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Acquisition by Michael Simonte of 260459 shares of American Axle subject to Rule 16b-3
08/30/2024
2
American Century Companies Inc. Purchases 9,616 Shares of American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. - MarketBeat
09/20/2024
3
Acquisition by James McCaslin of 19095 shares of American Axle subject to Rule 16b-3
10/16/2024
4
American Axle Manufacturing Earnings Expected to Grow What to Know Ahead of Q3 Release
10/25/2024
5
Adient Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
11/01/2024
6
Earnings To Watch American Axle Mfg Holdings Inc Reports Q3 2024 Result
11/07/2024
7
American Axle Manufacturing Non-GAAP EPS of 0.20 beats by 0.23, revenue of 1.50B misses by 10M
11/08/2024
8
Q3 2024 American Axle Manufacturing Holdings Inc Earnings Call Transcript
11/11/2024
9
American Axle Stock Dips Over 5 percent Amidst Market Fluctuations
11/14/2024
10
Acquisition by Elizabeth Chappell of 20030 shares of American Axle subject to Rule 16b-3
11/19/2024
11
American Axle shares rally as company swings to a profit - MSN
11/20/2024

About American Axle Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including American or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in American Axle Manufa has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Inventory Turnover10.810.9911.316.15
ROIC0.330.06670.05960.0699

American Axle Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of American Axle's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, American Axle's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of American Axle's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of American Axle. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of American Axle's management manipulating its earnings.
16th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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3rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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16th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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When determining whether American Axle Manufa is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Axle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Axle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
American Axle technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Axle technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Axle trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...