American Axle Manufacturing Stock Performance

AXL Stock  USD 8.08  0.04  0.50%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, American Axle holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Axle will likely underperform. Please check American Axle's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether American Axle's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Axle Manufacturing are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting basic indicators, American Axle disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.5
Five Day Return
(3.69)
Year To Date Return
24.5
Ten Year Return
(36.97)
All Time Return
(51.03)
Last Split Factor
117:1000
Dividend Date
2008-12-29
Ex Dividend Date
2008-12-04
Last Split Date
2018-10-05
1
Aeva Technologies, Inc. Reports Q3 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
11/05/2025
2
American Axle Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Decrease YY
11/12/2025
3
Acquisition by David Barnes of 16474 shares of American Axle subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
4
Disposition of 26610 shares by Michael Lynch of American Axle at 4.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
5
Why The Narrative Around American Axle Is Shifting After Guidance Tweaks And Deal Progress
12/04/2025
6
Is American Axle Manufacturing Holdings Using Too Much Debt
12/10/2025
7
Investors Will Want American Axle Manufacturing Holdings Growth In ROCE To Persist
12/18/2025
8
Dimensional Fund Advisors Ltd. Form 8.3 - AMERICAN AXLE MFG HOLDINGS - Ordinary Shares - The Manila Times
12/31/2025
9
American Axle Moves 9.8 percent Higher Will This Strength Last
01/07/2026
10
RBC Raises Price Target on American Axle Manufacturing Holdings to 9 From 8, Keeps Outperform Rating - marketscreener.com
01/14/2026
11
American Axle Manufacturing Stock Price Expected to Rise, Stifel Nicolaus Analyst Says
01/23/2026
12
American Axle to change name to Dauch Corporation, adopt new NYSE ticker
01/26/2026
13
American Axle Manufacturing Now Covered by Analysts at BWS Financial - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow519.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-254.8 M

American Axle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  620.00  in American Axle Manufacturing on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  188.00  from holding American Axle Manufacturing or generate 30.32% return on investment over 90 days. American Axle Manufacturing is generating 0.4844% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.1977% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 91% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Axle is expected to generate 4.27 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

American Axle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.08 90 days 8.08 
roughly 2.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Axle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.44 (This American Axle Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.83 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Axle will likely underperform. Additionally American Axle Manufacturing has an alpha of 0.2776, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Axle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Axle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Axle Manufa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Axle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.888.0811.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.628.8212.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.647.8311.03
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.909.7810.85
Details

American Axle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Axle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Axle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Axle Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Axle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

American Axle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Axle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Axle Manufa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Axle Manufa had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Axle Manufacturing Now Covered by Analysts at BWS Financial - MarketBeat

American Axle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Axle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Axle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding121.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments552.9 M

American Axle Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Axle, and American Axle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Axle Performance

By examining American Axle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into American Axle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that American Axle is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 27.00  20.89 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.07 

Things to note about American Axle Manufa performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Axle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Axle Manufa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Axle Manufa had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Axle Manufacturing Now Covered by Analysts at BWS Financial - MarketBeat
Evaluating American Axle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Axle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Axle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Axle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Axle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Axle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Axle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Axle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Axle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Axle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Axle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether American Axle Manufa is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Axle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Axle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Axle Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Axle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive American Axle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
0.34
Revenue Per Share
49.395
Return On Assets
0.0295
Return On Equity
0.0628
The market value of American Axle Manufa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Axle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Axle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Axle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Axle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Axle's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Axle represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Axle's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.