North Copper Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

000737 Stock   9.06  0.08  0.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of North Copper Shanxi on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.28. North Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast North Copper stock prices and determine the direction of North Copper Shanxi's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of North Copper's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, North Copper's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 6 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 1.6 M.
A naive forecasting model for North Copper is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of North Copper Shanxi value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

North Copper Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of North Copper Shanxi on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict North Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that North Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

North Copper Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of North Copper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent North Copper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2506
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors15.2848
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of North Copper Shanxi. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict North Copper. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for North Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North Copper Shanxi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.129.0612.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.199.1312.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1.949.1012.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as North Copper. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against North Copper's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, North Copper's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in North Copper Shanxi.

North Copper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with North Copper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of North Copper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing North Copper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

North Copper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how North Copper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading North Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying North Copper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify North Copper Shanxi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

North Copper Risk Indicators

The analysis of North Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in North Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting north stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in North Stock

North Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether North Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in North with respect to the benefits of owning North Copper security.