Sihui Fuji Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 300852 Stock | 28.85 1.18 4.26% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sihui Fuji Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 29.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.79. Sihui Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sihui Fuji stock prices and determine the direction of Sihui Fuji Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sihui Fuji's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Sihui |
Sihui Fuji Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sihui Fuji Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 29.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sihui Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sihui Fuji's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sihui Fuji Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sihui Fuji Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sihui Fuji's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sihui Fuji's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.23 and 33.71, respectively. We have considered Sihui Fuji's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sihui Fuji stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sihui Fuji stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1688 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.787 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.7931 |
Predictive Modules for Sihui Fuji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sihui Fuji Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sihui Fuji
For every potential investor in Sihui, whether a beginner or expert, Sihui Fuji's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sihui Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sihui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sihui Fuji's price trends.Sihui Fuji Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sihui Fuji stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sihui Fuji could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sihui Fuji by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sihui Fuji Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sihui Fuji's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sihui Fuji's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sihui Fuji Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sihui Fuji stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sihui Fuji shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sihui Fuji stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sihui Fuji Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 202207.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.053571 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.13 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.18 |
Sihui Fuji Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sihui Fuji's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sihui Fuji's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sihui stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Sihui Stock
Sihui Fuji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sihui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sihui with respect to the benefits of owning Sihui Fuji security.