ASP Isotopes Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ASPI Stock  USD 5.02  0.83  14.19%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASP Isotopes Common on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.52. ASP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ASP Isotopes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.23. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.37. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 27.6 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (7.4 M).

ASP Isotopes Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the ASP Isotopes' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
7.9 M
Current Value
4.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for ASP Isotopes is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ASP Isotopes Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ASP Isotopes Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASP Isotopes Common on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASP Isotopes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ASP Isotopes Stock Forecast Pattern

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ASP Isotopes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ASP Isotopes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASP Isotopes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 12.16, respectively. We have considered ASP Isotopes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.02
4.08
Expected Value
12.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASP Isotopes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASP Isotopes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4118
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3199
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0659
SAESum of the absolute errors19.516
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ASP Isotopes Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ASP Isotopes. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ASP Isotopes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASP Isotopes Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.255.0213.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.4112.49
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.963.253.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ASP Isotopes

For every potential investor in ASP, whether a beginner or expert, ASP Isotopes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASP Isotopes' price trends.

ASP Isotopes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASP Isotopes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASP Isotopes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASP Isotopes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ASP Isotopes Common Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ASP Isotopes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ASP Isotopes' current price.

ASP Isotopes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASP Isotopes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASP Isotopes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASP Isotopes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ASP Isotopes Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ASP Isotopes Risk Indicators

The analysis of ASP Isotopes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ASP Isotopes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether ASP Isotopes Common offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ASP Isotopes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Asp Isotopes Common Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Asp Isotopes Common Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASP Isotopes to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASP Isotopes. If investors know ASP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ASP Isotopes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.62)
Revenue Per Share
0.055
Return On Assets
(0.39)
Return On Equity
(1.98)
The market value of ASP Isotopes Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASP Isotopes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASP Isotopes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASP Isotopes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASP Isotopes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASP Isotopes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASP Isotopes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASP Isotopes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.