Stepan Company Stock Price Patterns
| SCL Stock | USD 57.61 0.61 1.07% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.245 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.515 | Wall Street Target Price 75 |
Using Stepan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stepan Company from the perspective of Stepan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stepan using Stepan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stepan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stepan's stock price.
Stepan Short Interest
An investor who is long Stepan may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stepan and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stepan with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 50.37 | Short Percent 0.0212 | Short Ratio 1.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 354.6 K | 50 Day MA 48.4004 |
Stepan Company Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stepan's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stepan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stepan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stepan Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stepan's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stepan.
Stepan Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Stepan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stepan Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stepan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stepan stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stepan's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stepan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stepan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stepan after-hype prediction price | USD 57.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Stepan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Stepan Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Stepan trading at USD 57.61, that is roughly USD 0.0299 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Stepan's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Stepan Company options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Stepan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stepan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stepan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stepan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stepan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stepan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stepan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stepan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stepan's historical news coverage. Stepan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.38 and 58.62, respectively. We have considered Stepan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stepan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stepan Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stepan Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stepan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stepan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stepan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 1.62 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
57.61 | 57.00 | 0.00 |
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Stepan Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Stepan Company is traded for 57.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Stepan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stepan is about 425.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.81. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stepan Company last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of December 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Stepan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stepan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stepan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stepan's future price movements. Getting to know how Stepan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stepan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REX | REX American Resources | 1.08 | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.03 | 2.78 | (2.66) | 8.84 | |
| ECVT | Ecovyst | 0.1 | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.16 | 3.11 | (2.86) | 13.76 | |
| BAK | Braskem SA Class | (0.14) | 5 per month | 2.78 | 0.12 | 8.68 | (4.87) | 27.76 | |
| ODC | Oil Dri | 1.75 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.16 | (3.03) | 15.64 | |
| GSM | Ferroglobe PLC | (0.04) | 8 per month | 3.19 | (0.02) | 5.66 | (5.47) | 19.69 | |
| ASPI | ASP Isotopes Common | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 16.16 | (10.29) | 28.83 | |
| UAN | CVR Partners LP | 1.12 | 8 per month | 2.62 | 0.09 | 3.68 | (1.72) | 18.65 | |
| GPRE | Green Plains Renewable | (0.57) | 11 per month | 3.59 | 0.04 | 5.46 | (4.66) | 27.29 | |
| MUX | McEwen Mining | 0.97 | 10 per month | 3.26 | 0.15 | 6.49 | (4.82) | 14.79 | |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings | (0.43) | 8 per month | 1.85 | (0) | 3.56 | (3.71) | 8.65 |
Stepan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stepan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stepan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stepan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Stepan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stepan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stepan Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stepan based on analysis of Stepan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stepan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stepan's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0153 | 0.0229 | 0.0264 | 0.0245 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.42 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Stepan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stepan. If investors know Stepan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Stepan assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share 1.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 |
Understanding Stepan Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Stepan's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Stepan's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Stepan's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stepan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stepan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Stepan's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.