Boston Omaha Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BOC Stock  USD 14.91  0.17  1.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boston Omaha Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.29. Boston Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boston Omaha stock prices and determine the direction of Boston Omaha Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boston Omaha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 22, 2024, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to 12.22. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 1.78. As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 29.5 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 6.2 M.

Boston Omaha Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Boston Omaha's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2012-09-30
Previous Quarter
27.8 M
Current Value
19.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
21.9 B
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Boston Omaha is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Boston Omaha Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Boston Omaha Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boston Omaha Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boston Omaha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boston Omaha Stock Forecast Pattern

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Boston Omaha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boston Omaha's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boston Omaha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.63 and 15.45, respectively. We have considered Boston Omaha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.91
14.04
Expected Value
15.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boston Omaha stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boston Omaha stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7421
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2507
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors15.2926
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Boston Omaha Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Boston Omaha. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Boston Omaha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Omaha Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3314.7416.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1212.5316.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.1615.1116.06
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Boston Omaha

For every potential investor in Boston, whether a beginner or expert, Boston Omaha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boston Omaha's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boston Omaha Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boston Omaha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boston Omaha's current price.

Boston Omaha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boston Omaha stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boston Omaha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boston Omaha stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boston Omaha Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boston Omaha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boston Omaha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boston Omaha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boston stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Boston Omaha Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Boston Omaha's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Boston Omaha Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Boston Omaha Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Omaha to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Omaha. If investors know Boston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boston Omaha listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Revenue Per Share
3.336
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.128
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Boston Omaha Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boston Omaha's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boston Omaha's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boston Omaha's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boston Omaha's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boston Omaha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boston Omaha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boston Omaha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.