Boston Omaha Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BOC Stock  USD 12.21  0.09  0.74%   
Boston Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boston Omaha stock prices and determine the direction of Boston Omaha Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boston Omaha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Boston Omaha's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Boston Omaha, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Boston Omaha's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boston Omaha Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Boston Omaha's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.21)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
14
Using Boston Omaha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Omaha Corp from the perspective of Boston Omaha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boston Omaha using Boston Omaha's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boston using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boston Omaha's stock price.

Boston Omaha Implied Volatility

    
  1.51  
Boston Omaha's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boston Omaha Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boston Omaha's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boston Omaha stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boston Omaha's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boston Omaha Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.98.

Boston Omaha after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Omaha to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Boston Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boston Omaha's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boston Omaha's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boston Omaha stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boston Omaha's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boston Omaha's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boston Omaha is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boston. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Boston Omaha Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Boston Omaha simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Boston Omaha Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Boston Omaha Corp prices get older.

Boston Omaha Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boston Omaha Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boston Omaha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boston Omaha Stock Forecast Pattern

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Boston Omaha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boston Omaha's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boston Omaha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.01 and 14.39, respectively. We have considered Boston Omaha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.21
12.20
Expected Value
14.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boston Omaha stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boston Omaha stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0085
MADMean absolute deviation0.1663
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors9.9786
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Boston Omaha Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Boston Omaha observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Boston Omaha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Omaha Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0212.2114.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0213.2115.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.0012.3512.70
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7414.0015.54
Details

Boston Omaha After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boston Omaha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Omaha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Omaha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Boston Omaha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boston Omaha's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Omaha's historical news coverage. Boston Omaha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.02 and 14.40, respectively. We have considered Boston Omaha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.21
12.21
After-hype Price
14.40
Upside
Boston Omaha is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Omaha Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boston Omaha Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Omaha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Omaha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Omaha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.19
 0.00  
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.21
12.21
0.00 
10,950  
Notes

Boston Omaha Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Boston Omaha Corp is traded for 12.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Boston is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boston Omaha is about 2085.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.22. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boston Omaha Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Omaha to cross-verify your projections.

Boston Omaha Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Omaha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Omaha's future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Omaha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Omaha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ADVAdvantage Solutions 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.06 (6.82) 22.81 
NCMINational CineMedia(0.04)4 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.00 (3.74) 15.70 
TTGTTechTarget Common Stock 0.55 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.93 (5.21) 15.02 
IHRTiHeartMedia Class A 0.50 7 per month 3.31  0.02  12.38 (5.90) 44.17 
ATEXAnterix 0.08 9 per month 2.57  0.11  7.64 (4.69) 20.21 
PERIPerion Network 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.82 (2.75) 14.14 
GTNGray Television 0.00 11 per month 2.80 (0) 5.13 (4.31) 13.88 
NEXNNexxen International(0.02)10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.08 (3.36) 24.48 
ZHZhihu Inc ADR(0.13)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.10 (4.82) 21.72 
WOWWideOpenWest 0.07 7 per month 0.00  0.12  0.92 (0.49) 462.61 

Other Forecasting Options for Boston Omaha

For every potential investor in Boston, whether a beginner or expert, Boston Omaha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boston Omaha's price trends.

Boston Omaha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boston Omaha stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boston Omaha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boston Omaha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boston Omaha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boston Omaha stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boston Omaha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boston Omaha stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boston Omaha Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boston Omaha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boston Omaha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boston Omaha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boston stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Boston Omaha

The number of cover stories for Boston Omaha depends on current market conditions and Boston Omaha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Omaha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Omaha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Boston Omaha Short Properties

Boston Omaha's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Omaha's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Omaha Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Omaha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Omaha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86.6 M
When determining whether Boston Omaha Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Boston Omaha's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Boston Omaha Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Boston Omaha Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Omaha to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Will Advertising sector continue expanding? Could Boston diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Omaha. Projected growth potential of Boston fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Boston Omaha data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(0.01)
Revenue Per Share
3.583
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
(0)
Investors evaluate Boston Omaha Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Boston Omaha's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Boston Omaha's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Boston Omaha's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Boston Omaha should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Boston Omaha's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.