Brightsphere Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BSIGDelisted Stock  USD 26.34  0.20  0.75%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightsphere Investment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 26.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.59. Brightsphere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brightsphere Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Brightsphere Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Brightsphere Investment Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Brightsphere Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightsphere Investment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 26.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brightsphere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brightsphere Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brightsphere Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brightsphere Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brightsphere Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0593
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4687
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors28.5921
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Brightsphere Investment Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Brightsphere Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Brightsphere Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brightsphere Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5126.3128.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9922.7928.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.7329.1832.62
Details

View Brightsphere Investment Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brightsphere Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brightsphere Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brightsphere Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brightsphere Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brightsphere Investment Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brightsphere Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brightsphere Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brightsphere Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brightsphere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Consideration for investing in Brightsphere Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Brightsphere Investment check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Brightsphere Investment's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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