DHCA Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DHCADelisted Stock | USD 10.36 0.06 0.58% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DHCA Old on the next trading day is expected to be 10.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.96. DHCA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DHCA Old stock prices and determine the direction of DHCA Old's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DHCA Old's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
DHCA |
DHCA Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DHCA Old on the next trading day is expected to be 10.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DHCA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DHCA Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DHCA Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DHCA Old | DHCA Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DHCA Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DHCA Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7163 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0047 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.9613 |
Predictive Modules for DHCA Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DHCA Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DHCA Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DHCA Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DHCA Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DHCA Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DHCA Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DHCA Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DHCA Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DHCA Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DHCA Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DHCA Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DHCA Old Risk Indicators
The analysis of DHCA Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DHCA Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dhca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2757 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4261 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6018 | |||
| Variance | 0.3621 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1816 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in DHCA Stock
If you are still planning to invest in DHCA Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the DHCA Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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