Envela Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ELA Stock | USD 6.50 0.01 0.15% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Envela Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.54. Envela Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Envela Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Envela Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Envela Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Envela |
Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 Envela Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Envela Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Envela Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Envela Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Envela Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Envela Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Envela Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Envela. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Envela Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Envela Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1990-12-31 | Previous Quarter 17.3 M | Current Value 17.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 4.9 M |
Envela Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Envela Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Envela Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Envela Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Envela Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Envela Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Envela Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Envela Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.80 and 8.40, respectively. We have considered Envela Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Envela Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Envela Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.506 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0894 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.5408 |
Predictive Modules for Envela Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Envela Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Envela Corp
For every potential investor in Envela, whether a beginner or expert, Envela Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Envela Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Envela. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Envela Corp's price trends.Envela Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Envela Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Envela Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Envela Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Envela Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Envela Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Envela Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Envela Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Envela Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Envela Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Envela Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Envela Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Envela Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Envela Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Envela Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting envela stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Envela Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Envela Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Envela Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Envela Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Envela Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Envela Stock refer to our How to Trade Envela Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Envela Corp. If investors know Envela will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Envela Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share 6.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.272 | Return On Assets 0.0648 | Return On Equity 0.1307 |
The market value of Envela Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Envela that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Envela Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Envela Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Envela Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Envela Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Envela Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Envela Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Envela Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.